$Freeroll NLHE: Flop Top Pair OOP against juiceQQ. I don't even know.

[Syfted]

$Freeroll NL HE: Flop Top Pair OOP against juiceQQ. I don't even know.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 50/100 Blinds (8 handed)
saw flop

UTG (t5685)
UTG+1 (t135)
MP1 (t2190)
juiceQQ(t1700)
CO (t300)
Button (t580)
SB (t305)
Hero (BB) (t2215)

Hero's M: 14.77

Preflop: Hero is BB with J

, K

3 folds, juiceQQ bets t300, 3 folds, Hero calls t200

Flop: (t650) K

, 2

, 6

(2 players)
Hero checks, juiceQQ bets t500, Hero raises to t1915 (All-In)

So what do you boys and girls think

 

[Dorkus Malorkus]

Fold preflop.

Stacks are awkward here given your marginal hand - a resteal shove is excessive and calling is committing too much of your stack.

Plus Tammy isn't raising there with much (if anything) that KJ beats.

 

[Syfted]

Tammy isn't raising there with much (if anything) that KJ beats.

I'm gettin' 2.25:1 so I only need ~30% equity vs her range yes?

Let me just throw these out there

probable
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.062% 28.68% 00.38% 324160620 4274394.00 { KJo }
Hand 1: 70.938% 70.56% 00.38% 797411232 4274394.00 { TT+, AJs+, AQo+ }

probable
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 27.302% 26.90% 00.40% 270848436 4034238.00 { KJo }
Hand 1: 72.698% 72.30% 00.40% 727917840 4034238.00 { JJ+, AJs+, AQo+ }

kinda tight
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 23.338% 22.95% 00.39% 146182236 2477340.00 { KJo }
Hand 1: 76.662% 76.27% 00.39% 485840172 2477340.00 { QQ+, AQs+, AKo }

kinda wide
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 31.232% 30.85% 00.39% 532413696 6648144.00 { KJo }
Hand 1: 68.768% 68.38% 00.39% 1180292448 6648144.00 { TT+, A9s+, ATo+ }

Plus the meta of defending my BB

 

[pantin007]

so u have 31% against here range at best, so it is marginal but u do not take marginal situation in a tourny

folding>shoving>calling preflop

 

[Syfted]

Well now I'm *very* interested in hearing juice chime in here