Fold QQ preflop?

[jdeliverer]

pokerstars Game #21628167375: Tournament #117444243, $5.00+$0.20 Hold'em No Limit - Level III (25/50) - 2008/10/30 19:00:12 ET
Table '117444243 1' 10-max Seat #10 is the button
Seat 1: pastaga01 (1450 in chips)
Seat 2: xDERRICKx (1410 in chips)
Seat 3: placebo_tt (1470 in chips)
Seat 5: BUKSBULL (3030 in chips)
Seat 6: X-Doubles-X (1695 in chips)
Seat 7: nanal (1050 in chips)
Seat 8: vsop84 (1625 in chips)
Seat 9: IMADONK32 (1255 in chips)
Seat 10: maiwolong (2015 in chips)
pastaga01: posts the ante 5
xDERRICKx: posts the ante 5
placebo_tt: posts the ante 5
BUKSBULL: posts the ante 5
X-Doubles-X: posts the ante 5
nanal: posts the ante 5
vsop84: posts the ante 5
IMADONK32: posts the ante 5
maiwolong: posts the ante 5
pastaga01: posts small blind 25
xDERRICKx: posts big blind 50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to maiwolong [Qh Qd]
placebo_tt: folds
BUKSBULL: folds
X-Doubles-X: calls 50
nanal: calls 50
vsop84: raises 50 to 100
IMADONK32: folds
maiwolong: raises 300 to 400
pastaga01: raises 1045 to 1445 and is all-in
xDERRICKx: folds
X-Doubles-X: folds
nanal: folds
vsop84: folds
maiwolong: ???

---

Can I fold this? I really put him on QQ-AA and QQ seemed unlikely given that I had 2 of them.

 

[KingQuadDaddy]

You can, but I wouldnt. Even though its only 3rd level, I take my chances. If you were SB and had TT or JJ or 99, or at worst case AK what would you do in his position, with a raise in front of you? I would go over the top just like he did thinking its a race, if it gets called. The only way you could get me to fold here is to let me see an A or K on the flop and then push. With the push pre flop...I like my chances with QQ

 

[u4eated]

I would play it. I like my chances there. Even if someone has AA or KK you can still suck out.

 

[ChuckTs]

You can't possibly put him solely on QQ+ here if you've only known him from the beginning of the game to the 25/50 blind level. It's an easy stack if we include just AK.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.793% 57.93% 01.86% 172607388 5540034.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 40.207% 38.35% 01.86% 114253440 5540034.00 { QQ }

That's 2:1 on a 1.5:1 shot. And he'll have plenty more hands in his range.

 

[Jayson745]

I agree, I'd take a shot there. He could have alot of hands that you have smoked. AQ AK JJ 1010. If theres only 2 hands you have to worry about, I say take a shot, and hope he doesn't have one of them.

 

[dufferdevon]

The other thing to consider is this is a Double or Nothing tourney, doubling your stack here pretty much guarantees you the money. Getting 2:1 on your money for the guarantee to finish in the money, sounds like a call. And even if you lose this hand, you still have chips to get back into it.