$5 NLHE STT: Top set on monotone flop

[jbbb]

Only about 18 hands in, but already it apears villian (Malevish) is super agg and v. loose. 3 betting very light. Later it transpired he was even more fishy than I suspected (showing down 58o after 3-betting etc).
VPIP probably of about 70% at this point (estimate).

Against a 4-flush i've got 71% equity if called.
Against a made flush I have ~33% equity if called.

pokerstars No-Limit Hold'em, 5.5 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (8 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 (t2340)
MP2 (t3350)
Hero (CO) (t1620)
Button (t1440)
SB (t1550)
BB (t1555)
UTG (t230)
UTG+1 (t1415)

Hero's M: 54.00

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9

, 9

1 fold, UTG+1 bets t60, 1 fold, MP2 calls t60, Hero calls t60, 2 folds, BB calls t40

Flop: (t250) 4

, 7

, 9

(4 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 bets t200, MP2 raises to t520, Hero ???

 

[cjatud2012]

This is one of the tougher spots you'll find yourself in with top set

To me at least, flopped flushes are so uncommon that while it is a part of MP2's range, it's certainly not his entire range. And even if that's the case, you're far from drawing dead.

So that's the only thing you're really scared of - if he has a 4-flush, a smaller set, or even an overpair, then you're doing great. So you pretty much always have to get this in.

 

[baudib1]

MP will have flush a lot, however, his range is a lot wider than that. UTG+! may have a huge pair with a club so if we get it in 3-ways we should make money over the long run.

 

[ben_rhyno]

Agreedwith Cj and baudib get this in

 

[OzExorcist]

I can't see any good reasons not to get this all in.

 

[WiZZiM]

There will be no folding of sets in this forum sir, no sir, no folding.

 

[jbbb]

There will be no folding of sets in this forum sir, no sir, no folding.

Lol I think I learnt from my last HA, where I got slated for folding that set.

Here's how it turned out:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 5.5 Tournament, 10/20 Blinds (8 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 (t2340)
MP2 (t3350)
Hero (CO) (t1620)
Button (t1440)
SB (t1550)
BB (t1555)
UTG (t230)
UTG+1 (t1415)

Hero's M: 54.00

Preflop: Hero is CO with 9

, 9

1 fold, UTG+1 bets t60, 1 fold, MP2 calls t60, Hero calls t60, 2 folds, BB calls t40

Flop: (t250) 4

, 7

, 9

(4 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 bets t200, MP2 raises to t520, Hero raises to t1560 (All-In), 3 folds

Total pot: t1490

If Villian wasn't so agg it would have been a lot harder to ship at the time.

Cheers for the help