$5 NLHE MTT: $5 NLHE MTT:

[BEERM4N]

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 13/2/2

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 13/2/2

This guy lost a big hand about 10 hands ago and has been raising just about every hand since.


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 1000/2000 Blinds 250 Ante (7 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO (t36938)
SB (t51175)
BEERM4N (BB) (t126302)
UTG (t132373)
UTG+1 (t190660)
MP1 (t1236)
MP2 (t94010)

BEERM4N's M: 26.59

Preflop: BEERM4N is BB with 8

, 8

1 fold, UTG+1 bets t6000, 4 folds, BEERM4N calls t4000

Flop: (t14750) 6

, 7

, 9

(2 players)
BEERM4N checks, UTG+1 bets t8500, BEERM4N raises to t22000, UTG+1 raises to t184410 (All-In), BEERM4N?

 

[Jillychemung]

13/2 stats don't jibe with a lot of raises over the last 10 hands unless you have a lot of hands on him in which case he was a stone cold nut then.

Why are you set-mining here? If you think he's on tilt and raising ATC then 3-bet preflop here. If you respect his EP raise then fold preflop.

This flop really didn't improve your hand that much so why the 3-bet on the flop?

 

[ManicLombax]

Hmm, you probably have 10 outs, and thus pretty good equity in the pot. If he's holding AA, for example, you have 39%. If he has AsKs you have 52%. Even if he flopped a set with 66,77,99 you still have 31.5%. It costs you 98000 to call a pot of 143000 or almost 1.5 : 1. So you need 40% equity for a call to break even.

I'd probably fold unless you really think he's tilted and there's a pretty good chance he's bluffing.

I think given your read the check raise on the flop is ok, but agree with Jilly you might be better off 3-betting pf unless you think he's so tilted he'll never fold. His 3-bet shove on the flop probably means he's serious. Not sure though, could still be a semi-bluff.

 

[Poker Orifice]

What was our plan when we check-raised this flop? (if we don't have a plan.. then why do it?).
also, I don't like a 3bet pre vs. someone we figure is tilting... I mean what's our plan there? 3bet/F ? I don't mind flatting in BB - - we're both really deep.

 

[BEERM4N]

tbh i was kinda pissed when i posted this hand cause he showed when i folded lol

Turns out i had his 7d8d crushed

 

[Jillychemung]

I don't mind flatting in BB - - we're both really deep.

Would your plan here be to set mine and so you'd check/fold this flop?

 

[Poker Orifice]

Would your plan here be to set mine and so you'd check/fold this flop?

Not necessarily.