$3.40 NLHE STT Turbo: steal from the BTN, move on flop?

[cjatud2012]

Villain in hand is fishy 55/0 type (admittedly that makes him a pretty terrible steal target, but not the point).

PokerStars - $3+$0.40|25/50 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

SB: 1,155.00
BB: 1,415.00
UTG: 1,215.00
UTG+1: 1,525.00
MP: 3,705.00
MP+1: 1,460.00
CO: 1,420.00
Hero (BTN): 1,605.00

SB posts SB 25.00, BB posts BB 50.00

Pre Flop: (75.00) Hero has 7:diamond: Q:club:

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 125.00, SB calls 100.00, fold

Flop: (300.00, 2 players) 4:club: A:club: 7:club:
SB checks,

Spoiler

Hero bets 175.00, SB raises to 350.00, Hero ???

So now I've been check-raised. The fish never does this with anything worse than an ace, right? And probably never folds to a shove? So should we just fold or do we have enough equity to jam?

 

[brackdog]

Pretty early to do anything fancier than a standard 1/2 pot cbet. Throw out 150 chips and take it down.

bd

 

[cjatud2012]

Okay that's kinda what I figured. I guess the only reason I posted this was because I got check/raised and was feeling results-oriented.

I guess that's the more interesting question actually - if we get check/raised, do we have enough equity to get it in? (I think I'll add that to OP real quick)

 

[brackdog]

That's the question you want the experienced folks to weigh in on. Remember to edit the spoiler out of your second post!

bd

 

[OzExorcist]

Eeewww, the dreaded check-minraise. You're probably right, villain is never folding any ace or any hand better than that either since you're obviously a big bad bully who's trying to steal all his money.

Villain only has 680 left behind, there's 825 already in the pot, if we're not up against a made flush we've got somewhere between 9 and 14 outs and we're 35-51% to hit by the river. I dunno the ICM figure but it's +chipEV to get it in against anything less than a made flush. Even a made flush isn't that bad as long as it doesn't have the Kc.

 

[WiZZiM]

As you know, preflop is pretty bad vs a 55 type. On flop we can just fire out a bet of around 150-200 hsould work just fine.

 

[Bwammo]

I prefer checking the flop in this instance. If we're behind we are going to get checkraised because of the 3flush down there looking all scary...if we're ahead and they have a strong draw we might get checkraised...if we bet and get flat called, we have no clue where we stand and all it would take is 2 random blanks on turn/river and for them to bet out at the river and suddenly our hand isn't good enough. However, if we check the flop and we are ahead, they have a total of...like maximum 6 outs? Any club and we're sexy, they'd need to have two overcards to the 7 to have a 4 out draw on us, and would need to have exactly 56 to have 6 outs on us. We're damn near a lock to win this pot at this point with a hand that's incredibly fragile to raises/aggression/really anything out of the ordinary.