$3.30 NLHE MTT: good lay down with top pair or not ?
Hi limakpl. I am of the opinion this is a GOOD FOLD.
PRE FLOP: The 2.5x raise is fine. You can't afford to fold decent
hands like this one at this stage in a tournament. You are probably expecting at least one caller (depending on table dynamic), and they could call with KQ or really any suited connector given its a small raise.
FLOP: The bet is fine. I believe your opponent probably thinks you have an ace given your raise (depends on your previous play of course). When an ace comes out on the flop, I believe your opponent is folding to the bet, without an ace or better. He may have hit a two pair with his Ax (very likely given that he did not re-raise, so may have called with a weak ace and hit two pair). He may also have hit trips on a low pocket pair (possibility given his call and no re-raise). And of course possibly AK or AQ etc. REMEMBER at a 9 seated table, the chance of another person ALSO holding an ace is 69%.
I think with a lower pair than ace, or a flush draw, opponent is just calling.
I think this is good play and I would have played it the same. A re-raise almost always spells trouble (in my experience).
