$3.30 NLHE MTT: Blind Struggle with 99 on QJJ

[limakpl]

HI, What do you think of my play here. Early in the tournament blinds 30/60, no reads on opponent.
My thought process:
I'm ahead preflop therefore raise.

Donkbet on the flop -likely he has Queen or flush/straight draw, its cheap so i call and i still have position.

Turn: Ace falls,and it helps my pf raising range (I don't know if he knows it) so I try to make him fold this queen or flush/straight draw. but he still calls .

RIVER: If he was chasing now he caught it, and even if he is holding queen I don't know how often will he fold on the river to make - bluff profitable so i decide to check back and lose minimum.

poker stars $3.00+$0.30 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t30/t60 Blinds + t5 - 8 players - View hand 2741255
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP1: t5816 M = 44.74
MP2: t5905 M = 45.42
CO: t3115 M = 23.96
BTN: t3762 M = 28.94
SB: t2935 M = 22.58
Hero (BB): t3345 M = 25.73
UTG: t7411 M = 57.01
UTG+1: t2976 M = 22.89

Pre Flop: (t130) Hero is BB with 9 of hearts 9 of clubs
6 folds, SB calls t30, Hero raises to t200, SB calls t140

Flop: (t440) Q of diamonds J of diamonds J of clubs (2 players)
SB bets t180, Hero calls t180

Turn: (t800) A of clubs (2 players)
SB bets t240, Hero raises to t600, SB calls t360

River: (t2000) 4 of diamonds (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Final Pot: t2000
SB shows 5 of hearts Q of spades (two pair, Queens and Jacks)
Hero mucks 9 of hearts 9 of clubs
SB wins t2000

 

[horizon12]

Without stats, flop only call, turn fold because board very coordinated and makes no sense to do 2bet, you already can be far behind and can make a lot of mistakes.

Ace falls,and it helps my pf raising range (I don't know if he knows it) so I try to make him fold this queen or flush/straight draw. but he still calls .

It is only your guesses, such a game will always be -EV. Without any kind of statistics you can not so to argue, you know nothing about your opponent, if vilain loose-passive (I think so, because flop/turn he bets very small) he can call your 2bet with Qx or can have Ax, he never fold this cards even with bad kicker.

 

[27DaNutz]

Well if it was me i would be calling the bet on the flop

However villain calls your pre flop raise.. he bets the flop and then bets the turn which for me is where i pretty much give it up on the turn .. he could have numerous hands that your always behind to.

 

[BigThingWithHolesInIt]

After villain's preflop line I'm never bluffing the guy.

 

[xxMorpheusxx]

It reads like a Queen. Limp pre then calls...I don't believe him on the flop. I don't usually believe donk bets because it's opposite of their original image.

I think if you limped because your holding a strong hand then why would you try to show strength on the flop to change my opinion. Because he is BvB he doesn't believe the A turn and calls. He couldn't raise it without looking super strong so he just calls (so we cannot rule out a Acombo of some sort)..however when he checks turn it means that he originally thought he hand was strong. But now he just wants to see a showdown. What's weak pre and strong on that board? A Jack is unlikely leaving Qcombos.

The question is if we can bet big and get him to fold a Q?

Also you'll get better feedback if you hide results. Luckily I didn't scroll all the way to the bottom before I came to a conclusion but it makes it much harder to be objective if you see the results.

 

[WiZZiM]

no reads i'm gonna give him the benefit of the doubt here more often than not, i might peel one card to the turn, but once he bets twice the hand is dead to me.

I would also raise smaller preflop(but it's not a big deal), only because he's almost always calling, and our hand really doesn't play that well postflop/we're looking to c-bet and be done with the hand most often.