$24 MTT; AK on TT4 flop, bet into

[blankoblanco]

Kind of early and lacking helpful reads on opponent. May have just been moved to the table, because I don't remember him from before.

full tilt poker Game #1908147128: $26,000 Guarantee (13988995), Table 125 - 25/50 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:37:24 ET - 2007/03/02
Seat 1: MJDiP (785)
Seat 2: King Erik II (1,685)
Seat 3: KCHawkeye (905)
Seat 4: BadBeatBryan (2,510)
Seat 5: badbeat84 (2,050)
Seat 6: KingKongs9 (1,870)
Seat 7: Matrix 71 (4,950)
Seat 8: Batmankw (3,160)
Seat 9: combuboom (1,115)
badbeat84 posts the small blind of 25
KingKongs9 posts the big blind of 50
The button is in seat #4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to combuboom [Ah Ks]
Matrix 71 has 15 seconds left to act
Matrix 71 calls 50
Batmankw folds
combuboom raises to 200
MJDiP folds
King Erik II folds
KCHawkeye folds
BadBeatBryan folds
badbeat84 folds
KingKongs9 folds
Matrix 71 calls 150
*** FLOP *** [4c Td Ts]
Matrix 71 bets 350
combuboom...

Clearly if I don't have a pair, the flop missed me, in villain's eyes. Unlikely I'm adventurous enough to raise a semi-scary UTG limp with one T in my hand. If he has a T there's almost no way he bets out this much. Low pair? Did he somehow call my raise with a 4? Does he have squa-doosh?

I only have AK high but the chips in the pot represent a significant portion of my stack, and even if I am behind I likely have two overs, and counterfeiting outs against low pairs.

Can I find a shove here? Must we fold?

 

[ChuckTs]

Well I see a few possibilities here:
1) He's got the ten (unlikely w/ his line)
2) He's got a middle pair like 88 and wants to see if it's good (likely)
3) He's a super aggressive player who knows this flop has missed you ~2/3 the time if you're holding big cards and he's thrown out a block bet (we'd need some reads for this one...I say unlikely)

Calling's pretty much out of the question and the way I see it, you have little fold equity so pushing's kind of out there too.

I think that most of the time this is a middle pair. I don't think that a push against the average unknown $26 player on FT will make him fold considering it will only cost him ~550. I toss it and curse the gods for such a shitty flop.

Once in a while against a really aggressive player I might even push this if I've got notes on him that he's block bet on 'scary' paired boards like this with trash.