$11 NLHE MTT: Bigger $11 TPTK early levels vallian donks paird river

[loafes]

poker stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t20/t40 Blinds - 9 players - View hand 2395352
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP1: t2180 54.50 BBs
MP2: t7715 192.88 BBs
Hero (CO): t4865 121.62 BBs
BTN: t3301 82.53 BBs
SB: t1315 32.88 BBs
BB: t1505 37.62 BBs
UTG: t2884 72.10 BBs
UTG+1: t6550 163.75 BBs
UTG+2: t2685 67.12 BBs

Pre Flop: (t60) Hero is CO with Q :club: A :club:
UTG raises to t80, 3 folds, MP2 calls t80, Hero calls t80, BTN calls t80, 2 folds

Flop: (t380) 5 :heart: J :diamond: Q :diamond: (4 players)
UTG checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets t200, BTN folds, UTG folds, MP2 calls t200

Turn: (t780) 4 :spade: (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets t360, MP2 calls t360

River: (t1500) J :spade: (2 players)
MP2 bets t760, Hero folds


Is this a fold. I figure this line looks a lot like a J, but do you think there is any possibility of a busted flush draw or worse Q here?

 

[Jacki Burkhart]

There are many possibilities with the way it was played including flopped 2 pair and sets, but the 2 most likely are he has a J or a busted flush draw and he is using a scare card against you.

I'd probably fold here without a read on the villain. It's close. I don't think a call is terrible either, but he isn't too likely to show up with a worse Q very often...so then you're basically bluff catching....

 

[invisile]

3bet pre! Tough river, but i would probably made a crying call, because i think he would fold turn some of his jacks and every draws missed on river. I dont think he have anything like 55 or QJ, because he would cr them often in turn.

 

[MasterOfDisaster]

Really if you go to the flop multiway I rather check the turn behind for potcontrol since your HU now and call most of his riverbets (depending on what cards come and to keep his bluffs in).

 

[MasterOfDisaster]

Yes you also could 3bet pre, but really would need more info about players tendecies cause its a UTG player that opens.