$11 NLHE: BB vs SB chaser

[Jillychemung]

$11 NL HE: BB vs SB chaser

$11 Buy-in (600/1,200 blinds, 125 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tourney, 9 Players
Poker Tools by Stoxpoker


MP2: 4,225 (3.5 bb)
MP3: 58,900 (49.1 bb)
CO: 63,426 (52.9 bb)
BTN: 31,319 (26.1 bb)
SB: 47,819 (39.8 bb)
Hero (BB): 61,206 (51 bb)
UTG: 15,253 (12.7 bb)
UTG+1: 32,654 (27.2 bb)
MP1: 33,196 (27.7 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BB with 9

9

7 folds, SB completes, Hero raises to 5,400, SB calls 4,200

Flop: (11,925) 4

5

7

(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets 12,000, SB raises to 42,294 and is all-in, Hero ????

I pot bet the flop here almost all the time since I don't want to give a cheap card.
We are ITM but still a long way from FT, around 200 players left
Villain stats are 16/16/inf over 49 hands
My stats are 11/8/2 over 195 hands
My standard raise is 3.5xBB + 1BB per limper
Villain has chased some draws before, some successful and some not. Villain has also overplayed middle PP at the river.

 

[WVHillbilly]

Call

 

[OzExorcist]

BvB and given our reads I think we can call this. Villain is unlikely to believe we've hit that flop in any significant way so his shoving range can be wide.

We're ahead of draws, crushing underpairs and we're even about 20% against two pair. Sets and 86 for the made straight are all I'm really worried about at this stage and while they're possible they're also only a small part of his range. Overpairs are also possible but it seems like an odd line for a big pair to take.

 

[Jillychemung]

Results - guess this was about 90% good as the opponent could flop. Wonder what size of a preflop bet would have made him fold the suited Q?

, Hero calls 30,294

Turn: (96,513) 2

(2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (96,513) A

(2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: 96,513 pot
Final Board: 4

5

7

2

A

SB showed 8

Q

(a flush, Ace high) and won 96,513 (48,694 net)
Hero showed 9

9

(a pair of Nines) and lost (-47,819 net)