$10.80 NLHE STT: DoN - What do you do with AK here?

[schnozzinkobenstein]

$10.80 NL HE STT: DoN - What do you do with AK here?

Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 27/16/33

pokerstars No-Limit Hold'em, 10.8 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds 20 Ante (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (Button) (t2785)
SB (t1350)
BB (t1935)
UTG (t3885)
MP (t2465)
CO (t2580)

Hero's M: 6.63

Preflop: Hero is Button with A

, K

1 fold, MP bets t800

Total pot: t620

The bet seemed like a "please don't call me I have a PP or marginal Ace I just want the blinds but I might be pricing myself in so I can call you if you push" raise.

 

[rounder22]

I would call here you should be a 60 to 40 favorite based on his preflop stats. I like to look at the bet sizing was 4bb his standard preflop j/w.

 

[schnozzinkobenstein]

No it wasn't his standard (3x), which is why I read his bet like I did. The fact that I'm only 60/40 would seem like it's not a +EV move as we only need one more person to go out until payout and I'm in 2nd-4th.

 

[rounder22]

Easy fold if he changes his bet here preflop I had no idea you were near the bubble.