$1,5 NL HE MTT: PS Power Path Step 2: Die fighting or try to fold to ITM?

[Andyreas]

Game

Hold'em

Game Format

No Limit

Table Format

MTT

Buy-in

1,5

Game Options

1. Turbo

Currency

$

Hi community,

I'd like your feedback about this hand / situation.

This is the Power Path Step 2 sattelite which is a hyper turbo MTT (3 min blinds). Everyone is short and I tried to fold to ITM or only jam a monster hand. We are 113 players left. 109 are paid and 107 receive a ticket for step 3.

I am 99th based in chips but only left with less than 3 BB and have to pay the blinds soon. I receive the Jacks in UTG+1. What would you do here? Jam or fold?

Spoiler: My decision and result.

PokerStars, $1.40 + $0.10 - Hold'em No Limit - 6,000/12,000 (1,200 ante) - 8 players
Replay this hand on CardsChat

UTG: 38,020 (3 bb)
UTG+1 (Hero): 33,705 (3 bb)
MP: 114,375 (10 bb)
MP+1: 62,495 (5 bb)
CO: 115,463 (10 bb)
BU: 112,770 (9 bb)
SB: 49,136 (4 bb)
BB: 50,160 (4 bb)

Pre-Flop: (27,600) Hero is UTG+1 with J♠ J♣
1 fold, Hero raises to 32,505 (all-in), 5 players fold, BB calls 20,505

Flop: (80,610) 5♠ 9♦ 4♥ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (80,610) K♣ (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (80,610) Q♣ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: 80,610

Showdown:
UTG+1 (Hero) shows J♠ J♣ (a pair of Jacks)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 71%, Flop: 86%, Turn: 5%, River: 0%)

BB shows K♥ T♦ (a pair of Kings)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 29%, Flop: 14%, Turn: 95%, River: 100%)

BB wins 80,610

I am wondering if I should just have sticked to my strategy and fold to ITM? Pretty sure the blinds would have hit but I still would have had a few anties left?

 

[RhinoRyan89]

Hi community,

I'd like your feedback about this hand / situation.

This is the Power Path Step 2 sattelite which is a hyper turbo MTT (3 min blinds). Everyone is short and I tried to fold to ITM or only jam a monster hand. We are 113 players left. 109 are paid and 107 receive a ticket for step 3.

I am 99th based in chips but only left with less than 3 BB and have to pay the blinds soon. I receive the Jacks in UTG+1. What would you do here? Jam or fold?

Spoiler: My decision and result.

PokerStars, $1.40 + $0.10 - Hold'em No Limit - 6,000/12,000 (1,200 ante) - 8 players
Replay this hand on CardsChat

UTG: 38,020 (3 bb)
UTG+1 (Hero): 33,705 (3 bb)
MP: 114,375 (10 bb)
MP+1: 62,495 (5 bb)
CO: 115,463 (10 bb)
BU: 112,770 (9 bb)
SB: 49,136 (4 bb)
BB: 50,160 (4 bb)

Pre-Flop: (27,600) Hero is UTG+1 with J♠ J♣
1 fold, Hero raises to 32,505 (all-in), 5 players fold, BB calls 20,505

Flop: (80,610) 5♠ 9♦ 4♥ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (80,610) K♣ (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (80,610) Q♣ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: 80,610

Showdown:
UTG+1 (Hero) shows J♠ J♣ (a pair of Jacks)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 71%, Flop: 86%, Turn: 5%, River: 0%)

BB shows K♥ T♦ (a pair of Kings)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 29%, Flop: 14%, Turn: 95%, River: 100%)

BB wins 80,610

I am wondering if I should just have sticked to my strategy and fold to ITM? Pretty sure the blinds would have hit but I still would have had a few anties left?

Hi @Andyreas

My decision would be based on one main thing here would how long till you paid the bb and sb and how many hands pay antes also if the blinds would have gone up before reaching you or after passing you.

If you could have paid your bb sb and renaming antes and be left with 1 to 1.5 bb to tank after the blinds past you and went up i would fold as should squeak in.

If blinds would have gone up before your bb and sb or if you had a full round of antes plus the bb and sb to pay i would jam also.

Hard spot either way

 

[puzzlefish]

I think in this spot if you can squeeze (by folding) your way to BB before the blinds increase again, then this would be a profitable fold because there is no way 4-6 players don't bust before you go ITM at least.

 

[dallam]

Hi @Andyreas

My decision would be based on one main thing here would how long till you paid the bb and sb and how many hands pay antes also if the blinds would have gone up before reaching you or after passing you.

If you could have paid your bb sb and renaming antes and be left with 1 to 1.5 bb to tank after the blinds past you and went up i would fold as should squeak in.

If blinds would have gone up before your bb and sb or if you had a full round of antes plus the bb and sb to pay i would jam also.

Hard spot either way

Agree with you. If it's possible, get over the blinds this level quickly, cause we can afford to loose 1.6bbs and after that timebanking to H4H. From 110 the whole thing will be in hand-for-hand and it would broke so many players until you 'd be blinded out. So you have around 9-10 hands this way.

Despite the very tense circumstances by these weird blind levels, JJ is a totally fine shove, bottom of your range, and KT is totally off call. Very unlucky to end here.

 

[iwont20]

I would fold and do it fast, so that I would still manage to pay these BB and SB at the low level of blinds. Although I doubt they would increase so much that you would be left absolutely without a stack. And then tank.

 

[zorro222_zorro222]

I would also fold JJ there, 6 spots away from the biggest prize available and 4 spots away from making a few bucks, I also agree with Iryna and tank once the blinds go through you, I know people don't like that but it's smart strategy... don't hate the player, hate the game... If it's a regular mtt with normal payouts and not a satellite, I would shove but nevertheless tough way to go out so close to the money.

 

[Andyreas]

Thank you for your feedback all. 🤗

I don't remember how long until the blind increase but also strongly feel I could have folded my way to the ticket very slowly. 🤪🤣

 

[fundiver199]

I think, you are to short to fold your way to a ticket. Just a bit unfortunate, that BB made a bad call and got lucky. Maybe though the real problem was playing to tight before this hand and getting so short in the first place.

 

[eetenor]

Satty play is always about stack sizes- if there are big stacks on your table they will call and crack your JJ- there are 14 players that have less than 3 bb 4 to get paid 6 to win the ticket and you have 8 players less than you who have to act before you- I think we have to fold JJ UTG-1 and stall thru the blinds and hope 4 the best.

If everyone is playing tight and we think we can take the blinds JJ can be a shove here but it would suck to lose in this spot when we are in a good spot to at least min cash by stalling

 

[eetenor]

Hi community,

I'd like your feedback about this hand / situation.

This is the Power Path Step 2 sattelite which is a hyper turbo MTT (3 min blinds). Everyone is short and I tried to fold to ITM or only jam a monster hand. We are 113 players left. 109 are paid and 107 receive a ticket for step 3.

I am 99th based in chips but only left with less than 3 BB and have to pay the blinds soon. I receive the Jacks in UTG+1. What would you do here? Jam or fold?

Spoiler: My decision and result.

PokerStars, $1.40 + $0.10 - Hold'em No Limit - 6,000/12,000 (1,200 ante) - 8 players
Replay this hand on CardsChat

UTG: 38,020 (3 bb)
UTG+1 (Hero): 33,705 (3 bb)
MP: 114,375 (10 bb)
MP+1: 62,495 (5 bb)
CO: 115,463 (10 bb)
BU: 112,770 (9 bb)
SB: 49,136 (4 bb)
BB: 50,160 (4 bb)

Pre-Flop: (27,600) Hero is UTG+1 with J♠ J♣
1 fold, Hero raises to 32,505 (all-in), 5 players fold, BB calls 20,505

Flop: (80,610) 5♠ 9♦ 4♥ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (80,610) K♣ (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (80,610) Q♣ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: 80,610

Showdown:
UTG+1 (Hero) shows J♠ J♣ (a pair of Jacks)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 71%, Flop: 86%, Turn: 5%, River: 0%)

BB shows K♥ T♦ (a pair of Kings)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 29%, Flop: 14%, Turn: 95%, River: 100%)

BB wins 80,610

I am wondering if I should just have sticked to my strategy and fold to ITM? Pretty sure the blinds would have hit but I still would have had a few anties left?

The other factor I did not mention is a player like the BB making a terrible call and winning like this---When our V are this bad and we might have a seat locked up it is best to let the hand go and stick with our plan AA or fold

There is a thing called collision factor where we fold the hand and other players knock each other out by making mistakes- In weak field satties we use that strategy first.