$1.10 PL O8 Deep Stacked: Top Set Out of Position, Scary Turn, Large Pot

[NiceNisus]

I'm curious if I played this badly.

poker stars $1.00+$0.10 Pot Limit Omaha Hi/Lo Tournament - t500/t1000 Blinds - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
UTG+2: t23559 M = 15.71
MP1: t15713 M = 10.48
MP2: t35149 M = 23.43
CO: t45309 M = 30.21
BTN: t70099 M = 46.73
SB: t51854 M = 34.57
Hero (BB): t18767 M = 12.51
UTG: t1549 M = 1.03
UTG+1: t15288 M = 10.19
Pre Flop: (t1500) Hero is BB with K♦ Q♥ 8♦ K♣
UTG raises to t1549 all in, 1 fold, UTG+2 calls t1549, 3 folds, BTN calls t1549, 1 fold, Hero calls t549
Flop: (t6696) 5♦ K♥ T♣ (4 players - 1 is all in)
Hero bets t6696, UTG+2 folds, BTN calls t6696
Turn: (t20088) 9♠ (3 players - 1 is all in)
Hero bets t10522 all in, BTN calls t10522
River: (t41132) 8♣ (3 players - 2 are all in)

 

[slycbnew]

I don't like potting the flop - K72r would be different - prefer 1/2 to 2/3 psb give or take, but I don't know the table dynamics so not sure how that would be perceived.

Once we pot the flop, we're pretty much pot committed w 10 likely clean and 4 dirty outs on the turn (though one of those J's is almost certainly in btn's hand), but there isn't a worse turn card for us than that 9 when btn calls the flop - on that flop, btn shouldn't be calling trying to hit a low, he's likely playing a high hand, and him calling the flop without a straight draw would be odd (unless you have reads on btn...).

 

[NiceNisus]

yes. so I should put him on QJ, rather than some sort of gutshot AJ or AQ + backdoor low draw type hand when he calls the pot-bet on the flop and check the turn?

 

[slycbnew]

imo, yes, unless you have a read that he's not very bright. He's deep enough that he could be doing something goofy like playing second set, but that would def be goofy imo.

The reason I want to make the flop bet smaller is to have more options on the turn. If btn comes over the top on the flop, I think we get it all in on the flop and let the chips fall where they may, top set is too strong on the flop to not do that, and there's a strong chance that high winner will scoop. But if the pot's smaller on the turn cuz we didn't pot the flop, we can check/call a smaller turn bet from btn and re-evaluate on the river after the 9 peels off - but I'd check/fold a full psb on the turn from btn if we're not pot committed, unless we have a read that he's bluffy/goofy.

I spend almost all my time in cash games, so grain of salt...

 

[NiceNisus]

ok thank you,
I have to agree with your reasoning

 

[baudib1]

You have the second nuts and a 1/2 PSB left, no way to get away from it, the turn's not THAT scary imo.