so if I had 9c 6c and the flop was 6d 7c 8c I would have 76% chance to win but, a 38% to hit...but.. after all this calculations I gotta read the opponent's hand and try to place his possible
This makes multiple situations which could happen.. open ended straight flush draw with a pair.. Ignoring the pair you have 4 outs to catch a 5, 4 outs to catch a 10, 9 outs to catch a flush(minus 2 of those cause 1 is a 5 and the other is a 10) making that 7... so 4+4+7= 15 outs... 15 X 4 after the flop = 60% to hit on the turn.If it doesn't it on the turn, then 15 X 2 = 30% to hit on the river...Now lets say on the turn another 6 comes. You now have more outs to make a fullhouse and 4 of a kind. 15 outs of course counted recently..Now you would have 1 6 to come, 3 7's to come, 3 8's to come and 3 9's..
Thats 25 outs.. a 50/50 chance to hit on the river..Your opponent better have some sort of monster against this many outs.