Hi guys,
What are your experience with hand KQ in early positions? I obviously open about 2,5 - 3 BB but always crash because some fish call with something like 4 6, 7 4 or similar hand offsuit.
Its bad In my opinion
#1You have too many random hands dealt out still left to act
#2 you are out of position on every street against almost all villians
#3 you are out of position
#4 its all about position
#5 you bet sizing isnt intimidating 10 8 in the big blind would call your 1.5 bb raise when they already comitted 1 plus antes and being 30-40 BB deep. its a gauranteed call using implied
odds.
using 3x-4x bb preflop bet in that position with those cards
We make 10 8 fold. We represent an actual hand from EP only premium hands/miners will remain.
In that situation you have represented strength properly preflop and can check or bet or check raise the flop .Depending on your understanding of the player and reads.
But you are still out of position, you are not driving this boat he is.
Say flop play for example
**when you don't hit***
You check to him , in position he raises 1/2 we fold = -3 BB
You cbet out for half pot he calls we shutdown on the turn = -8bbs~
You cbet out for half pot and we get the fold = +4~ bbs
You cbet with KQ high
A. we get the fold and won =+ 8-10 bbs
B. he calls/floats and most likely we will have to shutdown on the turn = -8~ BBs
C.he reraises you and you fold = -8~ BBs
**when you do hit**
You check to him , in position he cbets 1/2 , you reraise he folds= +8~bbs
You cbet out for half pot and we get the fold =+4~ BBs
You cbet out for half pot,
he folds/floats/draws, +4bbs profit if folds
villian has 16%-20%+ to improve to the best on the turn,
+semi
bluff tendancys an added 7%
to bluff on scary texture when pot commited 10%
~opponent shows aggression on the turn 37% of the time beats you 16-20+% but only after you make a turn bet and a river bet to get jammed on.
So ~70%~ of the time we win 8-12bbs and ~~30%~~ of the time we lose 40bbs
EV +84bbs/-120bbs
Read someones post today about how his ep is negative -9bb on his pokertracker software stats. its just bad to be out of position not a little bad, ALOTTA BAD.