R
rolling_raw_hide
Rising Star
Bronze Level
All in preflop against two:
me: QsQd, 114.5 BB, 48.52% equity
against: AsTh, 60 BB, 24.63% equity
and also: KcTc, 49 BB, 25.3% equity
I want to factor into the EV the times when I make 2nd best hand, losing 49 BB and winning 11 BB for a net loss of 38 BB. As I have yet to acquire a poker book that is math-heavy enough to go into these finer details, here I am trying to figure it out myself:
Suppose it were only AsTh and QsQd getting all-in preflop, while the Kc and Tc are dead cards. Then Queens beat the Ace-high 70.63% of the time. This leads me to think that in the 3-way situation, 70.63% of that 25.3% when the King-high wins, I beat the Ace-high and make 2nd best, which would be 17.9%.
If that happens to be right, I expect to win on average:
0.4852 * 109 BB + 0.179 * -38 BB + 0.2463 * -60 BB = 31.3 BB
I've taken my time, writing my first post. Is my thinking flawed or not?
me: QsQd, 114.5 BB, 48.52% equity
against: AsTh, 60 BB, 24.63% equity
and also: KcTc, 49 BB, 25.3% equity
I want to factor into the EV the times when I make 2nd best hand, losing 49 BB and winning 11 BB for a net loss of 38 BB. As I have yet to acquire a poker book that is math-heavy enough to go into these finer details, here I am trying to figure it out myself:
Suppose it were only AsTh and QsQd getting all-in preflop, while the Kc and Tc are dead cards. Then Queens beat the Ace-high 70.63% of the time. This leads me to think that in the 3-way situation, 70.63% of that 25.3% when the King-high wins, I beat the Ace-high and make 2nd best, which would be 17.9%.
If that happens to be right, I expect to win on average:
0.4852 * 109 BB + 0.179 * -38 BB + 0.2463 * -60 BB = 31.3 BB
I've taken my time, writing my first post. Is my thinking flawed or not?