SNIP<<<< the passive ones may never raise on any street with a set etc.
I get caught by this a lot in $2 FR. Calling station flops a set, I'm betting heavy with TPTK or 2 pair and he wins on a dry board. At least twice I've had a calling station flop a set, I made a straight or a flush on Turn or River with that card pairing the board, I lose a big pot
Yeah, this happens, nothing you can do about it HUD stats wise I guess, except taking a note on this player after and maybe taking some pot-control lines against him in the future when you suspect he hit a set.
On the other hand its not really only with calling-stations. There are some TAGish players, who will also only call you down, when they see that with your bet sizing and TPTK commitment, you will be already all-in on the river.
when someone is 75/20 with over 100 hands played. I just leave the table now if I see someone like that.
It's the donks & Fish, the Morons and Idiots that drive me insane, shoving or calling AI and hitting gut-shots
Is this a joke? You're essentially saying that if you see a fish at the table, you'll leave and find a less profitable spot to play in.
If you're being called AI a lot when you're up against a gut-shot draw, you're printing money.
Imho folding immediately to a flop raise is not an "optimal" play because with cbetting being more and more standard/known many players like to raise flop bets on dry, high boards (especially if somebody is cbetting too much) and wet boards (with draws, gutshots). So I'm more concerned about turn/river raises than flop ones. Thats the first thing. The next thing is that there is a stat called Cold Call 2Bet PF (in PT4) and with enough hands you can quite accurately (using additionally other PF positional stats) create opponent's calling range. Finally it all, of course, comes down to an opponent. Sniffing sets from TAGs/NITs is quite easy (additional stats such as AFq by street, W$SD etc), with looser opponents its a bit harder, the passive ones may never raise on any street with a set etc.
Imho folding immediately to a flop raise is not an "optimal" play because with cbetting being more and more standard/known many players like to raise flop bets on dry, high boards (especially if somebody is cbetting too much) and wet boards (with draws, gutshots). So I'm more concerned about turn/river raises than flop ones. Thats the first thing. The next thing is that there is a stat called Cold Call 2Bet PF (in PT4) and with enough hands you can quite accurately (using additionally other PF positional stats) create opponent's calling range. Finally it all, of course, comes down to an opponent. Sniffing sets from TAGs/NITs is quite easy (additional stats such as AFq by street, W$SD etc), with looser opponents its a bit harder, the passive ones may never raise on any street with a set etc.