AA vs regular

J

johoyo

Guest
Joined
Nov 28, 2006
Total posts
28
Villain is about 19/6/2.6 over more than 1000 hands.

Stacks:

* SB with $115.33
* BB with $133.71
* UTG with $112.08
* UTG+1 with $88.06
* UTG+2 with $45.84
* MP1 with $129.94
* MP2 with $21.50
* MP3 with $121.10
* CO with $126.31
* BTN with $96.00

hand.pl


hand.pl

Site: party poker
* * Dealt to UTG:A♣ A♦
* * Sklansky group 1
Preflop:
* * Hero raises [$3.50 USD]
* * 5 players fold.
* * CO calls [$3.50 USD]
* * 3 players folded.
* * Total folds this street: 8
* * Potsize: $8.5
Flop:
* * 4♠ 10♥ 9♦
* * Hero bets [$5 USD]
* * 3 players fold.
* * CO calls [$5 USD]
* * Potsize: $18.5
Turn:
* * 9♥
* * Hero checks
* * CO bets [$8 USD]
* * Hero raises [$24 USD]
* * CO reraies [$39 USD]

hero???????
 
CrackaNACtion

CrackaNACtion

Rock Star
Joined
Feb 20, 2008
Total posts
392
id call. i mean i say he has something like j10 or q10. but id call!
 
ChuckTs

ChuckTs

Legend
Joined
Feb 2, 2005
Total posts
13,642
As played I think we have to fold; tags rarely do this with anything you don't have beat unless they're making a very very rare bluff or odd play with a worse hand. The minimum 3-bet just screams strength most of the time, but I've occasionally seen minraises as bluffs in the past, though it's rare.

I probably bet turn by the way, but I think your line can yield a nice (bigger) return long-term. Cheeky :)
 
OzExorcist

OzExorcist

Broomcorn's uncle
Joined
Aug 6, 2007
Total posts
8,583
Awards
1
Yuck. Not 100% on PT but those are pretty TAG numbers, right?

The flat call pre-flop suggests either a medium pair or a drawing hand, both of which could have hit this flop harder than we did. And by the turn, this does reek of a full house. I'd be guessing T9 or TT in villain's hand, 44 is also a possibility. Outside are other hands with a 9 in them.

We beat overpairs, but they really don't fit the line for this hand. We're a favourite against straight / flush draws, but does a TAG really go over the top of your check-raise on the turn?

IDK - shake your fist at the poker gods then fold? You're only really looking at the remaining two aces as outs, you'll likely be facing a large bet on the river if you call the turn, and unless you hit an ace you'll still be holding a very marginal hand - not one you'd want to play a big pot with.
 
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