JCgrind
Legend
Silver Level
hackmeplz
Sleep Faster
Silver Level
Wow I just realized that my HUD was off by a seat and actually the guy who 3b was a 30/24 with 9% 3b and that's a slightly smaller sample. I think he's not very good but he's definitely still a reg. The SB was the 21/18 8% 3b and BB is a meh reg 20/17 with 5% 3b. But as I played it I was under the assumption I was against the 21/18 8% 3b.
I think the average reg in this spot (definitely myself included) actually has a very bluff-heavy range in this spot. I'll typically flat QQ/AK in this spot but then I'll have a super-wide bluff range. On the other hand I had someone 3b 99 against me in this spot a bit ago so I'm actually not all that sure what ranges look like for most regs.
Basically my thoughts were that the decision between ch/c and bet/puke (shouldn't get raised hardly ever but I definitely puke when it happens) boiled down to whether his range was more heavy with missed draws or bluff-catchers that won't bet river when checked to. I decided that with this line it was more likely he had weaker Qx/lower pairs than something like JTss. I think I bet a bit too small I made it $140, and he more or less snapcalled QTo.
I think the average reg in this spot (definitely myself included) actually has a very bluff-heavy range in this spot. I'll typically flat QQ/AK in this spot but then I'll have a super-wide bluff range. On the other hand I had someone 3b 99 against me in this spot a bit ago so I'm actually not all that sure what ranges look like for most regs.
Basically my thoughts were that the decision between ch/c and bet/puke (shouldn't get raised hardly ever but I definitely puke when it happens) boiled down to whether his range was more heavy with missed draws or bluff-catchers that won't bet river when checked to. I decided that with this line it was more likely he had weaker Qx/lower pairs than something like JTss. I think I bet a bit too small I made it $140, and he more or less snapcalled QTo.
The Messiah
Visionary
Platinum Level
140 seems lk a nice number to get payed off on.
I was thinking round the 115-125, mind you this price was for a underpair.
Nh.
Fwiw I think if u jam u get called a high % of the time to make jamming more profitable in the long run against this villain. Just make a note and crush his sole
.
I was thinking round the 115-125, mind you this price was for a underpair.
Nh.
Fwiw I think if u jam u get called a high % of the time to make jamming more profitable in the long run against this villain. Just make a note and crush his sole
.
JCgrind
Legend
Silver Level
i totally agree. esp when he know he had QT i think he calls you enough of the time to make getting it in the best option.
had him on 88-JJ or JQs,
weeeeee
acky100
Legend
Silver Level
I'd like to bet fold (unless we have like evidence or just know he is likely to bluff here a decent amount) around $180. (although i probs puss out and bet a smaller amount like you did too often in practice) I also think jamming the river seems outrageous with the effective stacks and because people are going to be using hands like Q7s, other weak Qxs hands that wont snap call a shove but obviously will if they made a weird straight with their bluff hands. I also think his range is mostly weak Qx and lower than the Q SDV hands like TT and JJ (i don't think there is very much 99 and lower cause i just dont think his value 3bet range has many of them in as its not really standard, unless you 4bet a lot in which case he might extend his 3b/5b range to include them, but yeah gotta severely discount hands like 77-99.
But yeh, i just think a value bet and not a shove is gonna be more +EV, don't like x/c or x/shove just because i dont think he has a ton of bluffs here compared to the amount of SDV hands which will just check back.
But yeh, i just think a value bet and not a shove is gonna be more +EV, don't like x/c or x/shove just because i dont think he has a ton of bluffs here compared to the amount of SDV hands which will just check back.