$50 NLHE Heads-up: one pair calldown or turn ship ?

[eNTy]

$50 NL HE Heads-up: one pair calldown or turn ship ?

Thoughts ?
First hand of the match, so i dont have loads of info besides his ptr which is bad. Min3betting is for chumps so i dont mind taking a flop IP, generally a minbet from a donk is either aces or air 'trying to keep me honest' in my experience. Since its the first hand of the match im inclined to think its the latter.

On flop and turn im pretty positive im ahead unless he somehow spiked a 9 or has a pp bigger than 7, but even then he wouldnt insta near-and-full pot it imo, so on turn, do i flat and hope river doesnt screw me or is shoving over his turn bet ok ? He's probably too bad to fold a pp>7 and a 9 so I guess we're not getting better hands to fold right ?

BB: $40 (80 bb)
Hero (BTN): $50 (100 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BTN with Q:diamond: 7:diamond:
Hero raises to $1.50, BB raises to $2.50, Hero calls $1

Flop: ($5) 2:heart: 9:spade: 7:heart: (2 players)
BB bets $4, Hero calls $4

Turn: ($13) 2:spade: (2 players)
BB bets $13

 

[vanquish]

he's going to be checking to you on the river a lot i think, so you don't want to shove over his turn bet if you're going to continue.

you can go by the theorem that the closer a bet is to the start of a HU match, the more likely it is to be a bluff, and call turn, and if he instashoves river, i think you can fold.

i don't hate a call, and i don't hate a fold, but i prob lean towards at least calling the turn and reevaluating river.

 

[grvicious]

shove for metagame purposes obv.

 

[eNTy]

he's going to be checking to you on the river a lot i think, so you don't want to shove over his turn bet if you're going to continue.

Well what if I want to continue because I very strongly feel I am ahead now.
Don't I want ze monies in now, for instance with a shove ?

 

[vanquish]

Well what if I want to continue because I very strongly feel I am ahead now.
Don't I want ze monies in now, for instance with a shove ?

no because you want him not to fold his bluffs

 

[eNTy]

hmmm

i was so weird in 2009

 

[Numbuh 0ne]

I think it's pretty horrible to shove here. What are you bluffing out? What would you be getting value out of? Do you want to waste you medium value hand?