$4 NLHE 6-max: can i bet for value here?

[WVHillbilly]

Oh, I see you ninja edited it too, lol. But do you think we are ahead before the river? What changes?

I think the guy is more likely to have AK, AQ, or two pair before the river then to have hit that river, although that river does make it a near certainty for me that we are behind with AJ.

Well there is now 4 to the straight on board and just because we think we might be ahead that is not enough reason to bet the river. We have to think that we're ahead of more than 50% of the hands he calls a river bet with. That's pretty clearly not going to be the case.

 

[Deco]

Oh, I see you ninja edited it too, lol. But do you think we are ahead before the river? What changes?

All the 6x hands now beat us. As does 89 and A8.
I think we're ahead most the time on the turn prior to all straight draws overtaking us.