[25NL 6max] Overpair vs Flop Shove on Paired board

B

bw07507

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pokerstars GAME #16916242111: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.10/$0.25) - 2008/04/22 - 14:09:20 (ET)
Table 'Elfriede II' 6-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: JpwMstng ($22.65 in chips)
Seat 2: KAZA1EX ($25 in chips)
Seat 3: bw07507 ($25 in chips)
Seat 4: APVANMAN ($13.15 in chips)
Seat 5: sniperoy ($40.60 in chips)
Seat 6: Psychops ($31.85 in chips)
sniperoy: posts small blind $0.10
Psychops: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to bw07507 [Qd Qs]
JpwMstng: calls $0.25
KAZA1EX: folds
bw07507: raises $0.95 to $1.20
APVANMAN: calls $1.20
sniperoy: folds
Psychops: folds
JpwMstng: calls $0.95
*** FLOP *** [Js 5c Jh]
JpwMstng: checks
bw07507: bets $2.80
APVANMAN: raises $9.15 to $11.95 and is all-in
JpwMstng: folds
bw07507: ?

I would normally call this in a heartbeat from a shortstacker like this, but villain is ultra passive postflop, although a small sample.

Villain is 33/9/0.2 over 50 hands
I have been typical 19/17/2.8
 
F Paulsson

F Paulsson

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Trips slowplay, pocket pairs think they're protecting by overbetting.

I call, and expect to win often enough to show a profit from it.
 
SavagePenguin

SavagePenguin

Put the win in penguin
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I agree with F Paulsson that he's protecting a pocket pair.
It's probably not an overpair.

Shove. Rejoice if he has 9/9, cry if he has 5/5.
 
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