$25NL 6-max: Weak overpair vs. Donkin' Nit

[c9h13no3]

Draws missed here, should I be calling down light?


Villain is a 17/13/33% over 694 hands
Fold to c-bet = 69%

BTN: $35.70 (142.8 bb)
SB: $24.02 (96.1 bb)
BB: $32.97 (131.9 bb)
Hero (MP): $25.77 (103.1 bb)
CO: $36.63 (146.5 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is MP with 9

9

Hero raises to $0.85, 2 folds, SB calls $0.75, BB folds

Flop: ($1.95) 8

5

6

(2 players)
SB bets $1.80, Hero calls $1.80

Turn: ($5.55) 2

(2 players)
SB bets $4.85, Hero calls $4.85

River: ($15.25) Q

(2 players)
SB bets $10.35, Hero folds

 

[Tygran]

is the 33% aggression frequency?

I don't really like this spot, but for the price I don't think a call is terrible. He's gonna show up with a busted draw and/or an 8 alot. If he backed into a Q well that just sucks but what can you do. TT/JJ would be in his range too. It's pretty marginal though.

Straight could have come in too... either flop (79) or turn (34)..I wouldn't necessarily put either hand out of his range out of the blind.

I'll go play with stove and if i change my opinion I'll come back

 

[feitr]

Doubt a nit ever does this without a big hand. Very few villains at nl25 would triple barrell donk this with 77 and 76/87 (doubt those last 2 are in a nit's range) or a flush draw (and it isn't like villain is flatting the sb with many flush draws at all), and your average nit almost never.

Donking makes sense on this board if villain hit a set as you probably check back a huge portion of your range on the flop against such a coordinated board.