$25 NLHE 6-max: Flopped set, villain calls down. River??

[bgomez89]

Full Tilt - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

SB: $4.82
Hero (BB): $25.00
UTG: $34.90
MP: $26.66
CO: $25.25
BTN: $31.45

SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has 7:diamond: 7:spade:

UTG raises to $0.60, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.35

Flop: ($1.80, 3 players) 7:heart: 6:heart: 3:club:
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG bets $0.90, fold, Hero raises to $3.25, UTG calls $2.35

Turn: ($8.30, 2 players) J:diamond:
Hero bets $5.50, UTG calls $5.50

River: ($19.30, 2 players) K:club:
Hero ???

Villain is unknown but he has been playing a little aggressive. What's my action on river? If i shove, he obviously folds all his FDs that bricked, calls his sets and a lot of his overpairs. I kinda think that he wouldve jammed turn if he had something like KhJh or something so i'm mostly thinking that he has sets and maybe TT+(i think 88-99 might fold but I don't know) and some Ahigh FDs. Are there enough hands that call a shove to outweigh the times he folds?

 

[c9h13no3]

1) Your line is crazy aggressive, he's not going to bluff his whiffed draws, if he even has any in his UTG range. No one is that insane.

2) Flop & turn bets bigger. $4ish on the flop, $7ish on the turn. That'd leave you much more committed on the river, and more importantly you'll be getting max value before the many times a 5/4/heart hits on a later street and kills your action.

Now shove the river. I'd expect calls from JJ-AA, and some of his big card flush draws that made a pair. Even if all he ever has is overpairs, you still have plenty of equity:

Board: 7h 6h 3c Jd Kc
33.333% { JJ+ }
66.667% { 77 }