$200 NL HE Full Ring: Missing value bets when scare cards hit the river

[Styrofoam]

Game

Hold'em

Game Format

No Limit

Stakes

$1/$2

Table Format

Full (8-10 seats)

Currency

$

Hero has ~$600 and main villain is about $400 effective

4 limps

Hero in the CO: AsKs raise to $17
MP: Call
HJ: Call

Flop Ac 8c 2h

MP: Check
HJ: Bet $10
Hero: Raise to 40 to charge draws
MP: Calls
HJ: Folds

Turn: Jd

MP: Check
Hero: Bet $100
MP: Call

River: 3c
MP: Check
Hero: ???

I have a read on this opponent that he plays way too loose, but has shown the ability to put in check raises on river cards, he has it sometimes, and he doesn't other times. I really want to bet for value here, but if I do, and I'm check raised, my hand is essentially a bluff catcher (although a good one) I elected to check back, but I feel like I missed out on a bet of like.... 50-75 that would have gotten called with a worse ace 100% of the time.

 

[D0nk3y Hunt3r]

You reraised and then he led on the flop? I would put on 1/3 on the river. 78?

 

[Styrofoam]

You reraised and then he led on the flop? I would put on 1/3 on the river. 78?

I raised after a bunch of limpers. then, the HJ led the flop, and I raised him there. The MP called, adn the HJ folded.

 

[D0nk3y Hunt3r]

I raised after a bunch of limpers. then, the HJ led the flop, and I raised him there. The MP called, adn the HJ folded.

Oh yes, leader folded. 142 on turn, MP called 2/3 of pot, this can be anything, like you said, smaller A, a set, flush draw would call, though flatting 8s or 2s pf? Some pocket pair like 9s, or 10s, from flop, on turn not so so, and question about flatting still stands, would villain flat those. Something J related, maybe. I would still go for 1/3 on river, you are for sure ahead lot of time, pot is nice I would try, if reraised by not much probably sigh call.

 

[liuouhgkres]

This kind of situations are super villain dependent. If villain is stationy, then it's definitely bet. If not, I thinking checking back is fine.

 

[kostja007]

I would bet small on the flop. The flop is very dry and there are not much draws possible. There are some flushdraws possible and also weaker Ax hands will call you. Turn I also would bet 1/3 or maximum 1/2. Sometimes I check that turn to balance. On the river you should bet for value and very often fold to a big raise.