$200 NL HE Full Ring: Another tricky spot with JJ

teepack

teepack

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This was a tricky spot I found myself in at my last cash session. I had been playing for less than an hour. My starting stack of $200 was down to $141. I didn't have a backup stack, so if I go out here, I'm done for the day. And it was a three-hour drive to the casino, so I didn't want to get knocked out so soon.

I got JJ in the BB. Early position guy bet $15. Three callers to me. I squeezed to $50. Early position guy shoved. All others folded. What do you do?

At first, I thought my best-case scenario was a flip (AK vs. my AJ). I figured worst-case scenario was I was dominated, with him having either AA, KK or QQ.

Then I remembered he had had pocket aces earlier and his pre-flop raise was $20. Because of that, I figured he didn't have aces or kings and probably not queens either. This made me rethink it and I decided to call. He flipped over pocket 8s and I survived the runout to scoop a huge pot.

Funnily enough, the same scenario repeated itself later in the session. I got JJ in the BB. Middle position guy bets $15, two callers and then I squeeze to $50. First two guys fold and then the last guy says, 'The last time he did this, he had pocket jacks.' He thinks a little more and folds, and I show my cards and tell him, "Good memory."
 
Chris Rowbach

Chris Rowbach

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I think there's $201 in the pot after he goes allin for your last $91, making the total pot $292 once you call. 91 divided by 201 is .31, meaning you need to win more than 31% to make this call profitable.

If player always and only has AA, KK, QQ, AK you win 36% making it worth the call.
If player always and only has AA, KK, QQ you win 18% making it not worth calling.
If player always and only has AA, KK, QQ, JJ, TT, 99, AK, AQ, AJ you win 52% making it worth the call.

So depending what you know of the player you can try to guess what his range is in this spot, chances are its more than just AA, KK, QQ.
 
S

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Your squeeze size is too small as you are giving everyone an amazing price to call. On the other hand it's more than a 1/3rd of your stack so the post flop spr would be less than 1. Therefore I would just shove as the squeeze size.
 
BigKulpPoker

BigKulpPoker

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Your squeeze size is too small as you are giving everyone an amazing price to call. On the other hand it's more than a 1/3rd of your stack so the post flop spr would be less than 1. Therefore I would just shove as the squeeze size.
That's not a bad line, the only other strong hand should be the original raiser. But these games are filled with players that flat and call off with AK, AQ, JJ, TT.
 
S

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That's not a bad line, the only other strong hand should be the original raiser. But these games are filled with players that flat and call off with AK, AQ, JJ, TT.
It's probably a good thing if they call off with those hands as JJ is ahead of all of them
 
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