This is a discussion on $2 NLHE 6-max: AA river fold ? within the online poker forums, in the Cash Game Hand Analysis section; Im not sure to many 2nl players take this line that often with gutshots and there are no obvious flush draqws on board.The Q is
Im not sure to many 2nl players take this line that often with gutshots and there are no obvious flush draqws on board.The Q is a good card for me but it also hit's villains range as villain can easily have KQ
Villain 44/24/11 sample 24 hands
I think, you know my answer already. At these stakes I typically tend to give people credit without massive information, and I also tend to not stack off an overpair in a single raised pot 100BB deep. You defended enough already, and maybe you could even let it go on the turn. When he fire again on that card, he probably dont have AK or KJ, because then the Q pairing would scare him.
Yea with this small sample I think you have to fold when the board pairs twice in a single raised pot. With VPIP that wide he could even have K2s along with his KQ, Qx, and the last combo of 22. If we bluff catch here I think we are lucky if we are right. Any K that strong should have 3 bet pre. I need a lot more than 24 hands to make this call. Don't think I could find a fold before the river though with limited reads.
I think you have to make a disciplined laydown here. I feel like he's going to have JT/J9/AT a lot here, but it's not worth the risk. At 2NL you will find spots where you may as well literally hold a bucket and let people drop their money in...better to wait for those spots than try to bluff catch for stacks.
I hate to put people on just one hand, but as it played out, I think, we are looking at pretty much exactly KQ here most of the time. Could be 22 or QQ as well, but there is only 1 combo of each of those, while there are 6 KQ, and these all make complete sense from preflop to the river. I guess the J9 draw missed, but at 2NL you just dont see many players check-raise flop with a draw, barrel turn and jam river, when the draw missed.
We have 6 QK combos; 6 AK combos; 1 combo 2-2 and 1 combo Q-Q. The decision depends on the type of player we face. I probably call without thinking if I have an aggressive player.
Without certain readings I don't hate the call, but I know that many times I am behind a full house. And considering the stake, I probably chose to withdraw from this place.