$2 NL HE 6-max: Am I Over-bluffing?

[maronza1]

Game

Hold'em

Game Format

No Limit

Stakes

$.01/$.02

Table Format

6-max (6 seats)

Currency

$

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This hand was played on zoom

 

[yogo9]

Hahah nice bluff well played.

 

[Aballinamion]

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Yes, you are overbluffing. 3-bet AJo vs UTG is optimistical unless you have sweet information that villain might fold to aggressive moves preflop or it is opening way more than it should.

 

[silentshowdown]

In the context of the 2NL game, making this play is expected to yield a negative expected value (EV). Over the long term, it's likely to result in significant losses. A notable portion of players at this level tends to resist folding even to a 67% pot-sized bet, particularly when holding a pair of 6s or 2s.
It appears that the opponent was bluffing on the turn, likely floating with a weak hand, ultimately failing to connect with any substantial cards.

 

[Aballinamion]

In the context of the 2NL game, making this play is expected to yield a negative expected value (EV). Over the long term, it's likely to result in significant losses. A notable portion of players at this level tends to resist folding even to a 67% pot-sized bet, particularly when holding a pair of 6s or 2s.
It appears that the opponent was bluffing on the turn, likely floating with a weak hand, ultimately failing to connect with any substantial cards.

Not only NLHE 2, almost all of the micro, low and mid stakes.

 

[silentshowdown]

Not only NLHE 2, almost all of the micro, low and mid stakes.

So, the fancy play only works for high rollers, huh?

 

[Aballinamion]

So, the fancy play only works for high rollers, huh?

Precisely. Do not try to emulate high rollers, this is a complete different game and strategy that goes far beyond our comprehension.

 

[dannystanks]

The math part of it, the bigger you make your bluff, the higher the pressure is for your bluff to work. Your 2/3rd pot bluff has to get the opponent to fold 60% of the time or more to make a profit. So you really have to pay attention and know your opponent. If he never folds your bluff will never work. If he folds everything then your bluff will work 100% of the time. Only there is never a 100% of the time. So you can reduce your bluff amount to put less pressure on the bet.
Also with AJ you do have showdown value. If you check you can win with Ace high, if you bet you have to plan ahead for the raise.

 

[okeedokalee]

No, you did a well timed bluff on a river scare card. You had the range advantage and used it.

 

[Funtast]

Precisely. Do not try to emulate high rollers, this is a complete different game and strategy that goes far beyond our comprehension.

Lol.

 

[gustav197poker]

I think your game is acceptable. You can't fold 100% of the time against a closed position, just because we assume it will always have a very tight range.
However, if we are going to play 3-bet pre, I prefer to do it when I am deeper and not like in this case, when we are effective with 66 bb. The reason for this is a bit psychological, as we seem more desperate to win a pot as soon as possible. Therefore in this special case I prefer to fold preflop.
As played the river is good for us, since we block AKs and KJs which are hands that should eventually move more aggressively in this texture, to obtain maximum value. Since V couldn't knock you down OTT, to recover fold equity from previous streets, he should continue betting and not leave room for you to block his bluffs.