100NL 6max JJ OP on mono flop

[widowmaker89]

Villian is 36/31/1.4 6%3bet over just 50 hands. Lost a big pot(not to me) about 2 orbits before when his flush draw and overs didnt hit after the flop. tableratings has him as new to 100nl and getting destroyed(-7/100) over a few thousand hands with an especially sharp downswing recently. I did know this going in.

Suggestions on the flop? Does the Q change anything except AdQ? Does he have an overpair worried about the flush or just on life tilt?


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HAND #1
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Full Tilt, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker
Hero (BTN): $110.05 (110.1 bb)
SB: $242 (242 bb)
BB: $125.10 (125.1 bb)
MP: $276 (276 bb)
CO: $78.30 (78.3 bb)
Pre-Flop: Hero is BTN with J♠ J♦
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, SB raises to $11.50, BB folds, Hero calls $8
Flop: ($24) 5♦ 6♦ 4♦ (2 players)
SB bets $24, Hero calls $24
Turn: ($72) Q♥ (2 players)
SB bets $206.50 and is all-in

 

[ChuckTs]

I think just shove the flop. I ran a few stove sims and it looks like it's incredibly close assuming he's semibluff shoving any Adx hand or Kdx hand within that %6 3bet (which isn't accurate at all given sample size).

It's probably a call considering he's tilting and sucks. But I think I shove flop to make my life easier because I don't think it's a huge mistake if it is one at all.

 

[baudib1]

Given his stats and considering this is BTN vs. SB, I agree that shipping the flop is probably best.