When did you say his F3b was 100? WTF. I assure you that is not standard. And if it is, it means you should be 3-betting people like this every time they open, with ATC, and NEVER flat.
i didnt specifically list the stat, i said he has 12% PFR, (therefore lower in MP), and is extremely tight and straightforward pre. i went back through my DB for the fold to 3b stat. and yes youre right, i should be 3b bluffing him every day
You are making math arguments without understanding any of the math. Saying "we 3b and we get raised we have to fold" vs. someone who allegedly f3bet 100% makes 0 sense. That's like saying "don't raise with KK because someone might have AA."
theoretically yes, this does mean 3b/fold KK, and vs his UTG 4b range this is arguably correct, because if were both just shoving AA and KK were only ever coolering eachother back and forth and never making any money. BUT were both not stupid and realise that his fold to 3b is a sample size error. Therefore, we treat him like the player he is- a reg tag/nit. these guys are not shoving QQ pre (against non fish anyway). their 4b/shove range is AA KK exclusively and a reasonable assumption is that they call 3bs with TT JJ QQ AK maybe AQs, ie, the top of their range
"we 3b and we get called were 52% vs. his assumed range OOP" is an argument FOR 3-betting.
All of your arguments, incidentally, point strongly toward folding QT pre -- you're 36% at best vs. his range. If you don't think you can play AK OOP profitably when you're 52%, then how the how are you going to do so with QT?
youre all correct in saying that my logic dictates that i should 3b or fold QTs pre. i totally agree. flatting completely goes against my argument on 3bing and ranges, however, this doesnt make my argument incorrect, it just means that youre all correct in saying that i should fold QTs pre, which i agreed with and acknowledged is the standard, and correct play
again, youve totally missed the point about AK. i can most definitely play this hand profitably OOP vs his OPENING RANGE, but vs his CONTINUING VS 3B RANGE i will have to massively outplay him postflop in order to make any profit long term, because we will both be going into the hand with ~50% equity vs eachothers range but i will have the added disadvantage of being out of position.
