Originally Posted by x2486
Two questions -
Are you already in the money, and if not, how far off is the bubble?
Do you know the average chipstack for the tournament at this point?
The answers might change my strategy, but I'm thinking a bet of about 120,000 would be about right. If one of them goes all-in, then I can fold and still be 1st or 2nd chipstack at the table. But unless one of them has a huge hand, they're not getting very good odds to call. Also, they each would have to put in about 1/3 of their chips to stay in, so they would be pretty close to pot committed anyway if they have any kind of draw after the flop.
Am I close?
Ok so I've seen it multiple times now and yes a squeeze play is what I wanted the majority who didn't want to raise in this spot to see. Average stack at this point I wanna say 250k, but I am not exactly sure. The bubble is long gone as the top 866 got paid and we were under 100 left.
This was an 11$ mtt so not really dealing with pros here either.
Other than the half descent notes we have on the villians, we also have a good table image(showed down good hands or didn't show at all) and have the chip stack to execute this right.
Another thing to notice is the bet he made compared to the blinds. 17k is barely over a min bet here, and from my experience, and the fact that I do the same thing, this is a ploy to make an odd bet look big in order to steal in position.
So all signs are pointing to stealing from the CO. But what about the calling station. Easy, IMO. Make a raise big enough that you haven't seen him call. which is close to 120k...and exactly how much I popped it.
They both instantly folded.