Thank you for responding.
As I stated this was a simplified example to give you the basics.
QQ 50% fold rate was an estimate that worked easily with the pot size river bluff
Any time we make a pot size river bet bluff we need only succeed 50% of the time that is a constant based on the math. That never changes.
The QQ fold rate is always an estimate we have to make based on game dynamics. Loose players may fold only 40% tight may fold to the bet 100%
Micro players will fold as little as 20% of the time.
If we know a player is folding only 20% of the time with QQ we have to check back that river.
Why 40% turn not 60%. QQ 1010 99 call 40%
-60% QQ calls 1010 folds 50% 99 folds 100%
When called we are betting more when losing. Also we know we are going to turn JJ into a bluff on the river so we are going to make 2 bets that look like value not like bluffs.
Remember we are not doing this vs micro players who could be calling down with A2.
We are playing thinking players who think about out bet sizing.
Bluffing is about telling a story. 40% bet turn says go ahead call me. Combine that with pot bet river aha I got you call me again. Remember we should be doing this with AK as well. That is what balancing means.
60% turn says you can fold that would be ok. Pot river then says please fold common you can fold. Are we ever betting AK 60% turn -pot river vs a thinking player?
We are trying to get a thinking player to fold QQ.
There are threads regarding play vs a single over card check them out.
Just to let you know my example here is an ICEBERG explanation. This topic requires a lot of study and understanding. What you see here is only the smallest part of knowing what to do.
Hope this helps.