T
turtlegolfs
Rising Star
Bronze Level
Hello All,
I am looking for some knowledge in calculating starting hand winning percentage verses other starting hands. Example JJ vs. AKo, what’s the percentage that I’m going to win, that is before the Donkey sucks out on me. You know, that cool stat they put up after the hole card cam, gives us a peek. I have a computer program that does this, but would like to expand my game to where I can do this on my own. I have tried all different kinds of number crunching and I can’t seem to figure it out. Basically I have tried variations of using Flop percentages with combinations of the odds in which you will make your hand, to try to come up with a percentage. Not sure if this is on the right track, or a nice hosel rocket from middle of the fairway. Anyway, here is the example of what I have tried. It seems to work most of the time just looking for some knowledge from the better poker players out there:adore:.
JJ vs. AKo - Computer shows JJ is 57.09% vs. AKo 42.58% with
a tie being 0.33%
JJ vs. chances of flopping an over pair is:
Flop –
1-((38*37*36)/ (50*49*48)) = ~ 57% hitting an over card on
Flop
AKo vs. Hitting only one pair is:
Flop –
3*((6*44*40)/ (50*49*48)) = ~ 26.9% only hitting one pair on
Flop
I averaged the 57% chance of hitting an over pair and the
26.9% chance of hitting either an A or K and it came up to ~ 42% for AKo
And then took the 43% chance that a Non over card flopped
along with the 74% of not hitting an A or K on flop and it is ~ 57 – 58%
Is this right or “Is it in the Lumber Yard”?
Any help would be great.
Thanks,Turtle
I am looking for some knowledge in calculating starting hand winning percentage verses other starting hands. Example JJ vs. AKo, what’s the percentage that I’m going to win, that is before the Donkey sucks out on me. You know, that cool stat they put up after the hole card cam, gives us a peek. I have a computer program that does this, but would like to expand my game to where I can do this on my own. I have tried all different kinds of number crunching and I can’t seem to figure it out. Basically I have tried variations of using Flop percentages with combinations of the odds in which you will make your hand, to try to come up with a percentage. Not sure if this is on the right track, or a nice hosel rocket from middle of the fairway. Anyway, here is the example of what I have tried. It seems to work most of the time just looking for some knowledge from the better poker players out there:adore:.
JJ vs. AKo - Computer shows JJ is 57.09% vs. AKo 42.58% with
a tie being 0.33%
JJ vs. chances of flopping an over pair is:
Flop –
1-((38*37*36)/ (50*49*48)) = ~ 57% hitting an over card on
Flop
AKo vs. Hitting only one pair is:
Flop –
3*((6*44*40)/ (50*49*48)) = ~ 26.9% only hitting one pair on
Flop
I averaged the 57% chance of hitting an over pair and the
26.9% chance of hitting either an A or K and it came up to ~ 42% for AKo
And then took the 43% chance that a Non over card flopped
along with the 74% of not hitting an A or K on flop and it is ~ 57 – 58%
Is this right or “Is it in the Lumber Yard”?
Any help would be great.
Thanks,Turtle