Originally Posted by BelgoSuisse
Of course his range isn't all medium pairs, but getting medium pairs and x6 to fold is what makes shoving this flop profitable.
See, I honestly think villain is calling this flop shove with 88 like half the time.
And maybe things are different at 25$ NL, but at 10$ NL a min-raise usually means that "I has the king, please don't leave".
Since this player is a little trickier/good, then I don't mind a shove either, since his min-raise is with a wider range. But I honestly don't hate calling either, since if we hit our draw, we're usually getting pretty good implied odds. If the flush hits on the turn/river, I honestly expect villain to pay us off.
If villain's range is 56s, 67s, 77, 88, 99, TT, KQ, KJ, how much equity do we have against it? And how often do we need folds out of the bottom 4 hands or so to make this profitable? I'd run the numbers myself, but I'm at work. I'm betting we need more folds than you think.