$50 NLHE Full Ring: C betting KK

only 18 hands on villain 12/6

C bet, check/call, check raise?

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($25.58)
BB ($25)
Hero ($25.70)
UTG+1 ($25.35)
UTG+2 ($18.50)
MP1 ($76.35)
MP2 ($26.46)
CO ($26.30)
BTN ($25)

Dealt to Hero K:spade: K:diamond:

Hero raises to $1, UTG+1 calls $1, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

FLOP ($2.35) A:spade: 3:diamond: A:diamond:

Hero

Hero bets $1.20

Logic: Lots of pairs will call a bet here, 12/6 is kinda passive so I don't think we'll induce many bluffs.

And because I like simulations: We have 58% equity against his calling range.

I can totally see an argument for checking though, so I don't think there's a big difference between the two for this opponent type.

Unless you think he'll turn hands like TT into a bluff and raise, I think you can cbet. Getting bluffed off our hand really blows though so if you think he's capable of it I like ch/calling.

His range could also be closer to something like this (18 hands doesn't say much), in which case cbetting is even more profitable: http://propokertools.com/simulation...dJd,+KdTd,+JdTd,+9dTd,+8d9d,+7d8d,+6d7d&h2=KK

It's just generally a pretty clear bet/fold situation with two aces on board vs someone who's not nuts. I usually go for two smallish streets here depending on my read. Sometimes flop/turn, other times flop, check turn, bet river.