Originally Posted by Matthew Southall
But what about the possibility of the villain bluffing with pure air? The villain would expect me to float him with 2 overcards on the flop, but maybe he expects me to fold to a second barrel? Or what if the villain had a straight draw and is aggressive enough to barrel with a draw (I usually barrel my draws too when I have the initiative)? Can we really just assume that we're behind on the turn?
Problem with calling small pocket pairs OOP otf or ott is that we might even be losing to their bluffs. Bottom pair, 33, 44, 55, etc. And even if they have just two overcards, they have a ton of equity against us.
Playing small pocket pairs OOP to a single raise, or even 3-way is not really profitable. Set over set is a possibility, and you won't always get paid off when you hit your set. This last point is really important. Your opponents could just have nothing, and you won't get even one bet out of them. Your opponent can have an overpair, but be smart enough to get away from it. You can get outdrawn on by a straight, flush, higher pocket pair, etc. Or you could be drawing thin to a made flush, straight, or drawing almost dead to a higher set. Or you can get bluffed off the best hand since you're OOP if the board gets too scary.
Being OOP sucks, even if you have card strength and skill advantage. Some guy bluffed almost 2.5BI into me with A high just today when I held the nut flush (gave him rope to hang himself after I called his huge flop raise with a gutter + NFD and turned the nut flush). You can't call in that situation even with top set on 3 to a flush for 2.5BI; probably not even 1.5 BI unless you had a sick read.
You seem to be playing and defending a little too loose for 6-max. How's it working for you?