Originally Posted by mbrenneman0
I remember, not that long ago when I really totally sucked at poker, I subscribed to the idea of blocking bets. Which are bets designed to buy the right odds to continue by betting out of position to encourage the opponent to call instead of raise large enough to price out your draw. I remember doing the math that a half pot blocking bet buys good odds for a flushdraw to continue if opponent calls...
I think villain here and a lot of other players at this level subscribe to the same theory of blocking bets and for that reason, at these stakes. A half pot bet, or a 1/3 pot from oop bet is a very good indicator of a drawing hand. So we should recognize that and price them out of the draw on the flop by raising to large enough to price them out of the draw here. Maybe raise to 2.20. Maybe even larger. Although this is definitely a high varience spot, and be careful of spr because if the pot is too large compared to their stack then they may wind up paying to see two cards in one bet (the turn and the river) instead of just the turn and therefore double their odds.
This was exactly my logic for raising the turn. There was $1.84 in the pot and the villain bet just $0.45 (less than 25% pot), so I immediately saw it as a blocker bet and raised the turn up to $2.10 for value against draws. When the villain shoved the river, I was hating it so much because on one hand, I had almost pot-committed myself after the turn raise (the price I was getting on the river meant I only needed to win the pot 23% of the time to justify a call), but on the other hand, I was just so sure that he had the flush.
It didn't surprise me at all when the villain showed Ks Qs (King high flush) and I immediately began to question whether I made the right call or whether I should've just trusted my instincts and folded. I guess one of my reasons for making the cry call was that the gutshots still missed (QJ, QT and JT), so there was still a slight possibility that he was on a busted draw. Although it was pretty optimistic to think that he could be chasing a gutshot for such a horrible price and would then attempt to bluff me off my hand with so little money left when I'd shown so much strength. I also thought that he could be one of those irrational fish that decides to bet big as soon as the flush gets there because he's scared of the flush and wants to disguise his fear by making a big bet (some fish think this way, especially in live poker), so that was another reason I leveled myself into a call.