Originally Posted by IPlay
I know he is asking about river but he should not be calling a pot sized turn bet let alone a river shove. But thanks for the helpful post.
If you put any bluff in his range, we have 45% equity... trips & full houses are hard to make. I'll ignore implied odds
since the board is paired. We don't know anything about this guy, except that he sat down at a short handed table and made a raise that hints at him not knowing what he's doing. I'm not ready to credit him with having the super nuts.
ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation
2,024 trials (Exhaustive)
(875 wins, 76 ties)
AK, AQ, AA, JJ, AJ, KJ, KQ 54.89%
(1,073 wins, 76 ties)