Originally Posted by TimovieMan
You probably shouldn't have bet out on the flop, gives him a chance to c-bet QQ/JJ/TT that would otherwise fold.
Since he calls your flop bet, I think you should just c/c down.
That pretty much... though see below
Originally Posted by Thinker_145
I didn't wanna check raise AQ/AJ and really on that flop I don't mind getting it all in. By the river I am not quite sure anymore.
There is no reason to check raise this board, it would be check call, we are way ahead or way behind and its unlikely we get AQ/AJ to stack off on the flop as when are we taking this line with worse? I think we can include AJ in villains range here some though.
As for river, villains range is:
Villains range at this point, if we include AJ, is:
We lose to 8 combos, we chop 4 and beat 6 combos. We have 33% equity to win and 11% to chop and are getting almost 3:1 so if we believe they can have AJ here some it is a call although I'm not happy about it.
If he never has AJ, and even if we discount some 88 due to it being an unlikely 3b hand and 1 combo of JJ believing that villain folds flop with JJ 1 out of 3 times, we only have around a 20% chance to tie the pot, and we are never ahead so it is a fold for 65bb.
I wish villain had some bluffs here but there are literally none unless he has spazzed with air which seems so unlikely here.
In future check call flop, check call turn, value bet river, fold to jam.