Originally Posted by duggs
no it doesnt, that assumes he doesnt have a bluff or thin value range, as someone bets their range becomes more polarised. which is great for us as his air bet/folds and his value hands can never has us crushed.
fold equity doesnt decrease according to street, thats a massive generalization.
And a massive generalization that's accurate. But lets get specific.
If we check, villain has the option to check back. If his range is floats (lets say AJo), medium strength hands (like 99), and big hands (QQ, AQ), he will check back his 99type hands a non zero percentage of the time. And those are precisely the hands we are targeting by betting. We want them to fold. By checking, we allow them to keep the pot smaller and get to showdown. And we don't get an opportunity to fold out those weak hands with showdown value. Thus, our fold equity decreases. Even if we check jam, we're not likely to increase our FE enough to make up for this.
You are not checking this turn to get more folds, you check to extract value from bluffs. If we bet, AJ prolly has to give up. But by checking, we allow his bluffs to put more $ in.
This all seems blatantly obvious to me. But my thinking isn't clouded by OMG RANGE MERGE POLARIZE gobbledy gook. This is a simple spot. Its troubling to me that your thinking is so far off. That's really the only time I reply to threads anymore, when something is so obvious that it doesn't matter that I've been out of poker for more than a year.