zachvac
Legend
Silver Level
odds of a pocket pair = 3/51 ~= 0.059
odds of setting that pocket pair = 1 - (48/50)(47/49)(46/48) = 144/1225 ~= 0.118
Odds of the same 2 at the other table = (2/52)(1/51) ~= 0.000754
Odds of the same set = 1 - (49/50)(48/49)(47/48) = 0.06
Odds of all happening = (0.059)(0.118)(0.000754)(0.06) = 0.000000315
= 1 in 3174997
So not that rare, I mean it happens about one in 3 million times.
SavagePenguin
Put the win in penguin
Bronze Level
Since hands on two tables overlap some it'd be less than that.
It would be the odds of getting the same hand twice in a row though... I think. I suck at math.
CrackaNACtion
Rock Star
Silver Level
yeah i won both of em
someone at both table went allin lol i was like ohhh yeah lol yeah very rare it happends i was tickled lol
zachvac
Legend
Silver Level
Right, well it's actually the odds of it happening on 2 specific hands. If he had said at the beginning "I will have the same set on hands 5 and 293" it would be the same odds. So it's actually slightly better as well because if it happened twice in a row he'd think it was odd as well. Basically what we want is the odds of something that or more unbelievable happening. But even rounding up (more probable), we still get about 1 in 3 million. Not very likely. This also assumes he's only playing 2 tables, but I think that's what he said.
