Originally Posted by Aces2w1n
Most of the winning players on this site i believe would have got the money in without flinching and wouldn't be bothered seeing a set. It just happens sometimes.
I disagree. Look at what he posted:
SB: 104.5 BB (VPIP: 7.14, PFR: 4.29, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 71)
BB: 108 BB (VPIP: 10.47, PFR: 9.69, 3Bet Preflop: 5.21, Hands: 263)
UTG: 42.5 BB (VPIP: 26.83, PFR: 12.20, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 42)
Hero (UTG+1): 160.5 BB
MP: 102 BB
(VPIP: 48.48, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
MP+1: 111.5 BB (VPIP: 14.89, PFR: 14.89, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 47)
CO: 96.5 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
BTN: 98.5 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 30)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero
UTG raises to 2 BB
, Hero raises to 6 BB
calls 6 BB, fold
, UTG calls 4 BB
Flop: (19.5 BB, 3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets 10 BB
, MP raises to 20 BB
calls 10 BB
Turn: (59.5 BB, 2 players)
Hero bets 30 BB
, MP raises to 76 BB and is all-in
calls 46 BB
River: (211.5 BB, 2 players)
(Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 48%, Flop 4%, Turn 16%)
(Full House, Sixes full of Kings)
(Pre 53%, Flop 96%, Turn 84%)
wins 204 BB
He's playing quite deep here. I like that Hero 3! the UTG's minraise. I'd've taken it higher, like 10BBs, but I don't object to the 6BB repop.
I like Hero's ~ half pot c-bet, and if he takes this one down, he should be very glad, seeing how deep these players are. When the vill min-raises, that should have set off the alarm bells. Whether I'd call here is highly villain dependent, and what I knew of his play. Depending on the vill, this min-raise could be a "find out where I'm at" min-raise, a trapping, induction raise intended to lure in stacks, a blocker, or the gutless attempt to steal of a nut-scared rabbit. Maybe I'd call, and maybe I wouldn't. If I thought there was a chance I could run the vill off, I'd repop/fold if he came over the top again. Yes, you could get bluffed off the best hand here. A player who can't be bluffed is a calling station, and how do such players do?
If I decided my vill wasn't going to fold to a repop on the flop, and I just called, I'd check the turn, even though it made me trip kings. It looks better than it really is, and is just enough to suck the unwary deeper into the quagmire. By the turn, what are you beating? The only thing is an ( As, Xs ) and Hero was already ahead of all those hands, except for ( As, A ) specifically. The turn here should have been x/f.
As played, Hero should have cut his losses and folded to the vill's shove. After having shown this much strength, trip kings can't be good. This hand is an illustration of overplaying TPTK in deep stack NLHE.