Originally Posted by CashTaker
I have 33. Villain bets. How can I know if I'm ahead or behind?
How often would you bet A high and not think it was a bluff even if you figured they missed the board?
You are behind 100% of the time here. You can't look at this hand any differently that if you held 23 for a pair of 2s or AK for ace high, only difference is that AK actually has a decent draw on turn and river. There are even ways for the villain to win a showdown here without even hitting a pair. Same way betting with 23 here would be considered a bluff, so would betting 33 here. Yes they likely missed but your hand has the equivalent showdown value of A high.
One of the biggest leaks a bad player has is not being able to drop a small pocket pair that missed. Heads up is one thing but otherwise remember your villain voluntarily chose to play these cards against you and thus you can infer they are likely decent.
Here are your options.
1. Call a tiny bet if you like and pray you hit that 5% chance of a 3 on the turn.
2. Float the flop and bluff the turn.
4. Cbet/fold if you were original raiser