This is a discussion on Frequency for AKo shove pre-flop? within the online poker forums, in the Cash Games section; I played a home game last night. It can be an action-heavy game at times. $1-$1 with a winnable $5 straddle for the button. If
I played a home game last night. It can be an action-heavy game at times. $1-$1 with a winnable $5 straddle for the button. If the straddle is not in play then usually the button plays it anyway. I did well enough and made $150 for the night but the night could have way better with one hand.
*** PRE-FLOP ***
BTN: straddles $5
Small Blind: calls
HJ (Hero): raises to $30 with
BTN: calls $30
Small Blind: raises to $75
HJ (Hero): calls
I believed he had a good hand (JJ+) and was very suspicious of the call-raise. Villian gets sneaky with his plays which actually hurts him in long run (fancy play syndrome).
I changed my decision six times in the span of 1 minute. Call, fold, shove, call, shove....I finally chose to call.
Main Pot: $156
Side Pot: $50
Yeah it sucks when you river the nuts after folding for sure. However, the call preflop is best with your relative stacks the way they are. He was never folding QQ no matter what you did. From an equity standpoint, the $120 shove with you only having 28:% chance to win, put you in a non-profitable situation. Calling the shove at $120 means you are calling $120 into a pot of $396 for 30% pot odds. Since 30 is bigger thatn 28 per cent to win, you fold. You will get an A or K on the turn or river about 20% of the time 2 outs for A and 3 for K = 5 outs per card left to play, so 5 outs X 2% X 2 cards = 20% The odds are too great to risk $120 for the chance you will get an A or K. If you chose to call the shove for this amount over several games you will generally lose money. Folding is the best answer. Call the preflop, fold if the price is too high later. sometimes like this one, you will see you folded a winning hand, but the percentage of time that will happen is too low to call that price. If the shove had been $100 instead and you only needed to call $100, then your pot odds would have been 28% matching the equity 28%, in that case you call the shove.