This is a discussion on SnG - Speculative hand turned out in a huge pot within the online poker forums, in the Tournament Poker section; Hello everyone!
Last week I played this hand in an online home game with friends.
Blinds 30/60, 4th level, 7/7 player still in the game
Stacks all around
re: Poker & SnG - Speculative hand turned out in a huge pot
Based on the fact that he called your relatively large turn raise, I think 44, 66, 77, 88, A5s, 45s, 56s, A678ss, 78ss are his hands that seem most likely. He might occasionally have an overpair, but since you know his playstyle you would have a better idea on that, as well as if 45s and 56s are in his UTG+1 range. I don't think A5s, 88 or overpairs/bluffs are leading this river often enough to make going all in the river profitable. Most flushes or straights should be check calling to bluff catch. 44, 45s, 56s are really the only hand calling the all in that you can get value from. A smaller raise on the turn to around 400 would allow you to raise-fold the river assuming he leads for half pot again on the river.
Based on the fact that he called your relatively large turn raise, I think 44, 66, 77, 88, A5s, 45s, 56s, A678ss, 78ss are his hands that seem most likely. He might occasionally have an overpair, but since you know his playstyle you would have a better idea on that, as well as if 45s and 56s are in his UTG+1 range. I don't think A5s, 88 or overpairs/bluffs are leading this river often enough to make going all in the river profitable. Most flushes or straights should be check calling to bluff catch. 44, 45s, 56s are really the only hand calling the all in that you can get value from. A smaller raise on the turn to around 400 would allow you to raise-fold the river assuming he leads for half pot again on the river.
Doesn´t the fact that he makes a very loose call chasing outs for a straight on a paired board make his range huge?
Except that, I agree on what you said, but at the same time I knew his bet (1/6th of the pot) on the turn meant a very weak hand, so I wanted to raise with a consistent amount to get value from my full house from overpairs, straight and flush draws.
