Blindwar limped pot

bianconi_10

bianconi_10

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Hello, I am unsure about this hand, I felt Jh doesnt change enough for us not to be able to bet for value am I correct? Also what do you do on the river, we have almost exactly pot sized bet left cca 12.5bb so his shove is basicaly pot sized? All in puts much appreciated.

partypoker - 30000/60000 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 6 players

UTG: 24.73 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, hands: 15)
MP: 6.83 BB (VPIP: 19.80, PFR: 11.75, 3Bet Preflop: 2.76, Hands: 493)
CO: 66.89 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 48)
BTN: 8.66 BB (VPIP: 24.29, PFR: 13.43, 3Bet Preflop: 13.79, Hands: 71)
Hero (SB): 18.43 BB
BB: 19.74 BB (VPIP: 22.86, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 35)

6 players post ante of 0.13 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.25 BB) Hero has Ts 8h

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 0.5 BB, BB checks

Flop: (2.75 BB, 2 players) Tc 5c 6h
Hero bets 1.1 BB, BB calls 1.1 BB

Turn: (4.95 BB, 2 players) Jh
Hero bets 3.5 BB, BB calls 3.5 BB

River: (11.95 BB, 2 players) Ks
Hero checks, BB bets 14.02 BB and is all-in Hero???
 
eetenor

eetenor

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Strange bet?

Hello, I am unsure about this hand, I felt Jh doesnt change enough for us not to be able to bet for value am I correct? Also what do you do on the river, we have almost exactly pot sized bet left cca 12.5bb so his shove is basicaly pot sized? All in puts much appreciated.

partypoker - 30000/60000 NL (8 max) - Holdem - 6 players

UTG: 24.73 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 15)
MP: 6.83 BB (VPIP: 19.80, PFR: 11.75, 3Bet Preflop: 2.76, Hands: 493)
CO: 66.89 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 48)
BTN: 8.66 BB (VPIP: 24.29, PFR: 13.43, 3Bet Preflop: 13.79, Hands: 71)
Hero (SB): 18.43 BB
BB: 19.74 BB (VPIP: 22.86, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 35)

6 players post ante of 0.13 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.25 BB) Hero has Ts 8h

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 0.5 BB, BB checks

Flop: (2.75 BB, 2 players) Tc 5c 6h
Hero bets 1.1 BB, BB calls 1.1 BB

Turn: (4.95 BB, 2 players) Jh
Hero bets 3.5 BB, BB calls 3.5 BB

River: (11.95 BB, 2 players) Ks
Hero checks, BB bets 14.02 BB and is all-in Hero???

Thank you for posting.


To answer your question the Jh can hit the villain as the Jc is a likely holding based on that board.

The issue is to win the villain can be bluffing this spot. The villain could also be holding any KcXc and be expecting you to call a value shove.

This is really about observing villain's play prior to this hand and estimating how often villain might bluff shove here vs how often villain would expect you to call a value shove. This is not an easy spot and we all make incorrect decisions here.

Hope this helps
:):)
 
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