This is a discussion on 69th of 252 remaining, 88s in the big blind within the online poker forums, in the Tournament Poker section; Folds to HJ (14bb), raises 2.5x
Folds to BB (20bb), we wake up with two black 8s
What do we do here? All-In or Fold?
the whole 69/252 is just silly and nothing to pay attention to due to the fact that y
the whole 69/252 is just silly and nothing to pay attention to due to the fact that you're going to see a lot of position fluctuations as the mtt continues.
as played, this is a super easy 3bet jam with 88 and 14 bbs effective. hj could easily be opening with a wide range to steal and you have enough fold equity with a 3bet jam. since you're against the opponent's open/call jam range and not their open jam range, you have increased equity because players are calling off tighter than their opening range.
for example, if the opponent is opening with 27% of hands for 2.5 bbs in the hj, but only calling a jam with the top 8% of their range, then your jam as an 70% chance of getting your opponent to fold. and if you are called against an 8% range, you still have ~43% equity, which isn't a bad spot at all.