This is a discussion on Did I play FullHouse on flop right ? within the online poker forums, in the Learning Poker section; I tried to get the most money from this hand. Not sure if I did everything right. How you would play this hand ? I
First let us talk about how you played it on the river.
What hands could villain have to call a pot size bet?
When villain check raises what hands could villain have?
What bluffs would villain think you had on the shove?
Would villain bluff catch for the all-in sizing? How often?
What 3 bet sizing would villain call most often?
Is there a 3 bet sizing that might get villain to shove?
Is there a meta game size you could use if villain was 3 bet bluff raise folding, to standard 4 bets?
Now what if you made a blocking bet size on the turn what might happen?
Do you have notes on this villain as an AGG player who check raises turns and then bluffs rivers? The river play was very AGG with a non nut hand.
If you look at this run out the 9 is more likely to hit our villain's range than the 4. Might we not want to target the 9 for value and also not give a free card to hit a 4 outer so Ax wins? If our villain has Ax that they will bluff on river why not bluff it on turn? If they do check raise would we not want to just call turn as we could always lead river if necessary?
If this villain is AGG will they not call turn, our small bet sizing and then attack us on the river when we pot 550 not 350 so we win 500 more from villain with the exact same action on river?
Of course if we took this action we would not 3 bet shove river as the villain cannot expect to beat many pairs we have and would not need to bluff catch at all due to stack size. We would make a smaller sizing and potentially win another pot size call on river so 2500 more from villain than we won here.