Bad fold?

L

leeroy818

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Hi there, new to Cardschat and I thought I'd post a hand for review!

pokerstars - 500/1000 Ante 150 NL - Holdem - 9 players

UTG: 26.44 BB
UTG+1: 42.6 BB
MP: 32.64 BB
MP+1: 50.61 BB
MP+2: 48.85 BB
CO: 57.5 BB
BTN: 68.57 BB
Hero (SB): 67.08 BB
BB: 27.17 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.85 BB) Hero has Ac 7c
fold, UTG+1 raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 2 BB, BTN calls 2 BB, Hero calls 1.5 BB, BB calls 1 BB

Flop : (11.35 BB, 5 players) 5c 6h 7s
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, CO bets 3.4 BB, BTN calls 3.4 BB, Hero calls 3.4 BB, BB raises to 25.02 BB and is all-in, fold, fold, fold, fold

Hero mucks Ac 7c (One Pair, Sevens)

BB wins 24.97 BB


I showed my hand as I folded, and a reg on the table was shocked at the fold and told me it's always a call.

I think villain's shoving range here is something like: 44-99, A5-A7, T7, 85-89. Versus that range I think I have about 65% equity (but I'm obviously crushed against a set or straight). When reviewing the hand, I noticed I was getting just over 2/1 on the call (something I didn't calculate in play), so I only needed 33% equity which I easily had. But at the time I thought the pair + draw hands in his range would surely just call here? So I had villain weighted more towards a made hand in that range.

What would you have done?

This was in a $3 MTT and I had a reasonable stack approaching the bubble, but the more I look at it, the more I think I should have taken the spot! Might have set me up better to go deeper into the tournament.
 
Collin Moshman

Collin Moshman

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First, while it's great you posted this hand, for future spots you put up it's best to do them in the Tournament Hand Analysis sub-forum of the Tournament poker forum. Ideally use the CardsChat hand converter tool as well.

In this hand, you should call the shove because:

** You close the action
** You're getting great odds
** You're ahead of draws (and some made hands)

You mention some of these factors in your post and you're completely right that it's a call when you put everything together. Note that if the button shoved though, and you had to act next when there were still a lot of people active in the hand with deeper stacks, it would be a fold.
 
Collin Moshman

Collin Moshman

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One last thing -- the reg at the table shouldn't have made that comment. There's no reason to criticize people's play and/or try to initiate a strategy discussion right at the table with everyone there.
 
L

leeroy818

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Thanks for the reply and advice, Collin!

Noted re: the correct thread, will check that out now.
 
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