$10 NLHE 6-max: NL 10 , Jamming set on the flop?

[Morra123]

What do you think about jamming even vs 1/3 flop here? a lot of turns will change the nuts , by jamming we realise our full equity, + dont have deal with annoying turns/rivers.
p.s flop raise sizing is bad I know, doesnt accomplish much, I usually raise bigger.


pokerstars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
Replay this hand on CardsChat

UTG: $10.74 (107 bb)
MP (Hero): $16.21 (162 bb)
CO: $15.22 (152 bb)
BU: $10.00 (100 bb)
SB: $15.06 (151 bb)
BB: $10.15 (102 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero is MP with T♥ T♠
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, CO 3-bets to $0.90, 3 players fold, Hero calls $0.60

Flop: ($1.95) A♠ T♣ Q♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1.21, Hero raises to $2.80, CO calls $1.59

Turn: ($7.55) A♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $3.60, CO calls $3.60

River: ($14.75) 9♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $8.91 (all-in), CO calls $7.92 (all-in)

Total pot: $30.59 (Rake: $1.38)

Showdown:
MP (Hero) shows T♥ T♠ (a full house, Tens full of Aces)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 54%, Flop: 78%, Turn: 2%, River: 0%)

CO shows A♣ Q♣ (a full house, Aces full of Queens)
(Equity - Pre-Flop: 46%, Flop: 22%, Turn: 98%, River: 100%)

CO wins $29.21

 

[John A]

Na, but I hate the flop (basically) min raise. I wouldn't raise that board in a 3-bet pot since AK/AJ might dump their hands, and literally the only hand that's behind that's calling you is AQ or bad flush draws. It would be much better to just c/c flop and c/j the turn.


As played, the rest of the hand plays itself. bet/bet.

 

[Sidetracked]

It's a cooler however you look at it. It's always a drag to be on the wrong end of boat over boat, but I don't think that playing the hand differently on any street would have changed anything.

 

[TheBigFinn]

Agree with the play preflop. On the flop, Hero could raise a little more. After the raise and call the re-raise is about 1/3 pot. I doubt anything less than two pair calls a jam, but at the same time they'll call 1/2 pot. As the cards lay it makes no difference.

JohnA raises the question, "Will a raise fold out AK and worse?" AK & AJ appear just as likely as AQ and maybe AT, but will AK/AJ call an unfavorable river? I wouldn't. Best to get more money in early.

 

[liuouhgkres]

Don't put too much thought into this hand, it's a cooler. Could play anyway you want, just make sure you get money in.

 

[dallam]

I'm not a cash-game specialist at all, I avoid them. But as an MTT player, I see no other outcome rather you loose your money here, no matter how you are gonna play this out.
KJ wasn't in his range cause the 3bet. Considering the bets AA, AK, AQ, QQ and a maybe for AJ or KK or JJ. You did a pretty strong raise on turn after your check call, so at this point seeing him still call you means a minimum set with straight-draw or a full.

But as I say when he saw you have something to going for, if you are not the one who goes all-in after that cards on river, he would do it and still win it. Nice try anyway, better luck next time...

 

[gustav197poker]

If you decide to push on the flop, what villain hands could he call? Could he call you a sticky AK? I think so, when he has a spade blocker and he probably folds otherwise, since you have a closed range from MP. But it doesn't make much sense to fold wheel aces in range V, because they don't interfere with the important flush draw combos, that you represent more than CO.
The flop min raise is a bit polarizing on this texture when you have a wide picture, otherwise you are giving too much information to your villain and he could get rid of a lot of hands that are losing on this texture. Again your perception of the villain is important. If he tends to defend a lot on the river, you may be able to hook him more with small raises sizes in the previous streets.
Turn and river are standard. Either you've lost or you want to catch villain bit by bit until he bites the bait on the river.
Greetings.